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I/O Fund Cumulative Returns of 131% More Than Double the S&P 500.
The I/O Fund’s cumulative returns of 131% have more than doubled the S&P 500 since our inception and are 157% better than institutional all-tech portfolios. The team is dedicated every day to continue outperforming the large corporations with which I/O Fund competes.
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Palantir Stock Sets Path Towards 40% Growth
Palantir’s Q4 report exceeded expectations, driving shares past the $100 mark with a massive beat and raise. The launch of AIP just six quarters ago has fueled a remarkable 23-point revenue acceleration, solidifying Palantir’s position as a leader in AI-driven growth. Compared to rivals like Snowflake and MongoDB, Palantir continues to dominate in AI revenue expansion. With Q4 revenue hitting $827.5 million—far surpassing forecasts—Palantir’s trajectory signals a strong path toward sustained high growth.
DeepSeek Creates Buying Opportunity for Nvidia Stock
DeepSeek shook the market to start the week, sending AI heavyweight Nvidia down 17% on Monday, wiping out $600 billion in market cap, while other AI hardware names fell up to 30%. This is enough to make any investor panic, and it boiled down to one mission-critical question – did the model’s release fundamentally rewrite the AI capex story? The market’s readthrough is that Big Tech has now been overspending on AI. However, The I/O Fund believes that readthrough is wrong, it’s not that the United States is overspending; it’s that we will accelerate spending to stay ahead. In this analysis, I provide evidence that DeepSeek is not the black swan that killed Nvidia overnight, and touch base on what investors should keep an eye on price-wise moving forward for Nvidia. The I/O Fund recently entered five new small and mid-cap positions that we believe will be beneficiaries of this AI spending war. We discuss entries, exits and what to expect from the broad market every Thursday at 4:30 p.m. in our 1-hour webinar. Learn more here.
Big Tech AI Stocks to Showcase AI Gains, Capex in Q4 Reports
Big Tech’s earnings are just around the corner, with Microsoft and Meta kicking the season off on January 29th. The upcoming December quarter reports will offer a glimpse into AI spending trends to close out 2024 and an initial view for 2025, where Microsoft has already penciled in at least $80 billion in spending for AI-enabled data centers compared to $62 billion originally estimated. Analysts had initially estimated capex of ~$200 billion for Big Tech in 2024, an increase of ~30% YoY. In the first half of 2024, Big Tech spent nearly $104 billion, a 47% YoY increase. Through Q3, that sum had surged to $170 billion, up 56% YoY. Our latest checks suggest that Big Tech is on track to spend at least $236 billion in capex in 2024, 18% higher than analyst estimates and representing YoY growth of more than 52%.
Why Solana is Outperforming Ethereum by 26,500% Since 2020
Ethereum has long been the frontrunner in decentralized apps (dApps) and blockchain innovation, but its scalability challenges have left the door open for competitors like Solana. Launched in March 2020, Solana has surged over +28,000% since its debut, compared to Ethereum’s +1,500%, offering a faster, more efficient alternative through its unique Proof of History (PoH) protocol. This protocol enables Solana to process up to 65,000 transactions per second without sidechains, making it a superior layer 1 solution in terms of speed and security. With Ethereum’s shift from Proof of Work (PoW) to Proof of Stake (PoS) addressing some scalability issues but raising concerns about centralization, Solana continues to push ahead, supported by innovations like the upcoming Firedancer upgrade, which promises to boost transaction speeds to over 1,000,000 per second. While the broader adoption of blockchain remains in its early stages, Solana’s advancements position it as a compelling contender for long-term layer 1 dominance.
The Best of I/O Fund’s Free Newsletter in 2024
The Best of I/O Fund’s Free Newsletter in 2024 highlights top-performing tech stocks, Bitcoin insights, and AI-driven market trends. Discover how I/O Fund delivered unparalleled analysis on Nvidia, Bitcoin, Meta, Amazon, and Palantir. With in-depth research into AI power consumption, cloud growth, and tech’s biggest movers, our free newsletter provides investors with actionable insights and proven strategies to navigate the high-stakes tech sector. Stay ahead with expert analysis that uncovers opportunities and helps manage risk in the most dynamic industry. Learn more and sign up today!
I/O Fund Reviews
Thank you Beth, you are awesome
Beth, your analysis is second to none. When I saw your FOX News interview on YouTube, I had to check out your company and become an I/O Fund member. I also love how you take complex technical topics and explain them in simple terms that everyday folks like me can understand. Wishing your I/O fund can ride this AI story to new heights. So glad you stared your own company.
NVIDIA now vs. Apple 20 years ago - For individual investors, diversification is a myth. Retail investors don't have time to follow and analyze X number of stocks in Y number of fields, just in the name of diversification. 20 years ago, I had thousands of Apple shares. I didn't know what I was doing, so every time it made a little money, I sold a little AAPL. I also tried to be too cute with covered calls. I was in the boat to the promise land and I jumped out. I missed the boat. If I had kept all my shares, I could've retired by now.
NVIDIA is now my second chance. I had bought some NVIDIA in 2021 and 2022 and more in Dec of 2023 when I sold all my other stocks and just bought NVIDIA. Now 100%+ of my stock portfolio is NVIDIA (including 1200 on margin). Plan to hold this for the next 5-10 years.
When we marry, we marry one person. When we get a pet, we get one pet, maybe two. When we work, we work for one employer at a time. So yeah, I believe in Jensen Huang the way I believed in Steve Jobs. For me, while it is very tempting to sell NVIDIA and buy other AI related companies. I am sticking with NVIDIA.
I love your analysis on the whole AI wave. No one does it as well as your firm. Thank you for all you do and who you are.
Alex
PS - no reply necessary.
Alex S
Subscriber since February 2024
Dear Beth, I don’t know if you will ever see this email because I am sure you receive more than “your fair share of emails” every week but I wanted to write you to say to you and your team “Thank you!”. Thank you for all the work you put into the wonderful emails you send out as well as the Thursday afternoon webinars. I love the way you write those emails and appreciate each one I receive. They are not just “thrown together” but are very thoroughly thought out and full of information that I can use. You folks are making a real difference in peoples’ lives and I, my wife, our children and grand children will be affected by your work for many years to come. Knox’s webinar is EXCELLENT and I look forward to watching it each week. I watched your whole interview last night with Jordi Visser and it was so good and full of information that I don’t hear others saying- so thank you!
Last but not least, I got SO EXCITED when you mentioned you were looking into possibly starting an ETF-please, please do. We need it. It would be so wonderful to be able to put money into an ETF knowing the kind of work you folks do. I spend hours a week studying, researching stocks, etc. but I also have a business I run and love that keeps me busy as well so this would help people like me out tremendously! I will put money in it on day one! 😊
Thank you again for all you do and also for the humility you do it with. It is extremely refreshing to see. The lives you folks are already touching and the many you will touch in the future I know will give you the greatest satisfaction of anything you do. I am so grateful that my family and I are a part of the people you are touching.
Bob D
Subscriber since February 2024
Knox, I know I already said it recently, but I'm going to say it again: bravo and thank you. That last weekly webinar you did on February 29th was quite possibly the best bit of education I've had about the market ever. So many light bulbs are going on for me about how all the different market forces interact with each other.
I also especially liked your zoom out onto the Supercycle and why LTBH has been successful in the past and will likely be less successful in the future. This strikes me as a very important piece of information that's going to affect everyone who is blindly putting their money into index funds every month.
Anyway, thank you very much for your attention to detail and your willingness to share all your research with us. Whatever your motivation for doing so, I hope you continue to find it fulfilling and stick around with I/O Fund for the long term.
Cheers
Bobby
Bobby H
Subscriber since 2023
I've been following you for the past one year or so and confidently can say there is no one equal nor can they match up to you. I like the fact that you analyze equities with clarity and explain in simple terms unlike the bombastic Wall Street analysts.
Thank you and so grateful for your inputs.🙏
Babi A
Subscriber since March 2023
Fantastic article. Real in-depth and a learning opportunity for us investors. Thanks to you and your team I’ve made a lot of money on NVDA. I first bought in at 2017. Then in 2018 I read an excellent book called AI Superpowers and I doubled my position. Then when you wrote that ground breaking article and spelled it all out how NVDA will become the most valuable company in the world in a few years I went all in. NVDA’s now represents 37% of my whole portfolio and I have no plans to sell any shares. Just add on any substantial dips. Keep up the great work!
Stewart G
Subscriber since December 2020
Shout out to @Beth_Kindig You laid out perfectly why $META was a buy on Making Money yesterday. I now some of the audience bought the stock or held. You are one of the best tech analyst/investors in the best...period!
Charles V Payne
American Fox Business Network financial journalist
Just listened to the 2023 round up .
Want to thank you all you guys for doing such a great and sensible job . I believe all of you put a lot into giving really great service .
Please pass on the the message if possible, to both Beth and Knox.
I’ve just paid for the next year and I am really looking forward to the next journey ,
Kindest regards Philip