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The I/O Fund’s cumulative returns of 210% have more than doubled the S&P 500 since our inception and are 219% better than institutional all-tech portfolios. The team is dedicated every day to continue outperforming the large corporations with which I/O Fund competes.
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AMD vs Nvidia: The AI Stock That Could Win by 2028
Last week, AMD offered more details on the release of their groundbreaking GPUs with little fanfare in the markets – which is par for the course as AMD has a history of being forgotten about until the company can no longer be ignored. At Advancing AI 2025, AMD introduced its Instinct MI350 series GPUs, including MI355X with up to 4X performance over the previous MI300X generation and up to 40% more tokens per dollar compared to Nvidia’s B200 accelerators.
This AI Stock is Set to Surge from Inference Demand
Up until now, the AI conversation has been dominated by training and compute, yet inference is showing signs of exploding growth. Microsoft and Google recently highlighted 5x to 9x YoY growth in AI tokens processed, while OpenAI and Anthropic are adding billions in ARR in a matter of months to $10 billion and $3 billion, respectively. While Nvidia takes center stage for many investors as AI training powered its immense data center growth over the past two years, this AI semiconductor stock is solidifying itself as the clear second place, with AI revenue expected to rise at 60% YoY this year and hints of a possible acceleration next year. Below, we break down what you need to know as the industry shifts to inference at scale, if this stock’s valuation is justified or lofty, plus the one thing the CEO said that all AI investors must hear to help position for 2025-2026.
Taiwan Semiconductor Stock: AI Growth Amid Geopolitical Risk
Despite their leadership, AI stocks like Taiwan Semiconductor and Nvidia are flat year-to-date and trading at similar levels as June 2024. Clearly, the AI trade is not as straightforward as it might seem. Taiwan Semiconductor, in particular, sits at the center of geopolitical tensions — yet those tensions tend to surround companies with deep IP in the AI economy. What makes this economy so distinct is not just the extraordinary commercial demand, but also its rare, historical role in shaping global alliances (and adversaries). Investors are confronted almost daily with friction between the U.S. and China — and at the center of it all is one stock: Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC). While enthusiasm around AI demand remains strong, assuming it will simply override geopolitical headwinds is overly optimistic. Onshoring a supply chain like TSMC’s takes years, yet markets can react to a negative headline in seconds.
Historic Market Uncertainty Meets $7 Trillion Debt Wall: What Comes Next for the S&P 500
We are seeing mounting evidence that this bounce may be the start of a new push to all-time highs, such as improved breadth, better than expected earnings plus the size of this bounce. However, one can’t ignore the unprecedented levels of uncertainty shown in key indexes, coupled with a growing problem in the U.S. bond market. In this report, we’ll lay out the unbiased case for each scenario for our 2025 stock market outlook.
Nvidia Stock Faces a Choppy Q2, But Tailwinds Build for H2 Acceleration
Nvidia’s streak of blockbuster earnings has turned investor expectations into a high-stakes game— anything short of perfection risks disappointment. As the company gears up to report fiscal Q1 results, markets remain fixated on the fallout from China’s H20 export ban, which could shave $15 billion off annual revenue and includes a $5.5 billion inventory write-down. Q1 strength will likely reflect a surge in stockpiled orders from China, but Q2 poses the choppiest outlook in years as demand for Hopper GPUs slows and Blackwell ramps more gradually than expected. Despite these headwinds, Nvidia’s fiscal H2 may shine, with Blackwell NVL72 rack shipments set to surge. With over seven years of coverage and a 53% gain on our latest Nvidia trade, I/O Fund offers critical insights and buy targets as Wall Street heads into Nvidia Week.
I/O Fund Reviews
Thank you Beth, you are awesome
Beth, your analysis is second to none. When I saw your FOX News interview on YouTube, I had to check out your company and become an I/O Fund member. I also love how you take complex technical topics and explain them in simple terms that everyday folks like me can understand. Wishing your I/O fund can ride this AI story to new heights. So glad you stared your own company.
NVIDIA now vs. Apple 20 years ago - For individual investors, diversification is a myth. Retail investors don't have time to follow and analyze X number of stocks in Y number of fields, just in the name of diversification. 20 years ago, I had thousands of Apple shares. I didn't know what I was doing, so every time it made a little money, I sold a little AAPL. I also tried to be too cute with covered calls. I was in the boat to the promise land and I jumped out. I missed the boat. If I had kept all my shares, I could've retired by now.
NVIDIA is now my second chance. I had bought some NVIDIA in 2021 and 2022 and more in Dec of 2023 when I sold all my other stocks and just bought NVIDIA. Now 100%+ of my stock portfolio is NVIDIA (including 1200 on margin). Plan to hold this for the next 5-10 years.
When we marry, we marry one person. When we get a pet, we get one pet, maybe two. When we work, we work for one employer at a time. So yeah, I believe in Jensen Huang the way I believed in Steve Jobs. For me, while it is very tempting to sell NVIDIA and buy other AI related companies. I am sticking with NVIDIA.
I love your analysis on the whole AI wave. No one does it as well as your firm. Thank you for all you do and who you are.
Alex
PS - no reply necessary.
Alex S
Subscriber since February 2024
Dear Beth, I don’t know if you will ever see this email because I am sure you receive more than “your fair share of emails” every week but I wanted to write you to say to you and your team “Thank you!”. Thank you for all the work you put into the wonderful emails you send out as well as the Thursday afternoon webinars. I love the way you write those emails and appreciate each one I receive. They are not just “thrown together” but are very thoroughly thought out and full of information that I can use. You folks are making a real difference in peoples’ lives and I, my wife, our children and grand children will be affected by your work for many years to come. Knox’s webinar is EXCELLENT and I look forward to watching it each week. I watched your whole interview last night with Jordi Visser and it was so good and full of information that I don’t hear others saying- so thank you!
Last but not least, I got SO EXCITED when you mentioned you were looking into possibly starting an ETF-please, please do. We need it. It would be so wonderful to be able to put money into an ETF knowing the kind of work you folks do. I spend hours a week studying, researching stocks, etc. but I also have a business I run and love that keeps me busy as well so this would help people like me out tremendously! I will put money in it on day one! 😊
Thank you again for all you do and also for the humility you do it with. It is extremely refreshing to see. The lives you folks are already touching and the many you will touch in the future I know will give you the greatest satisfaction of anything you do. I am so grateful that my family and I are a part of the people you are touching.
Bob D
Subscriber since February 2024
Knox, I know I already said it recently, but I'm going to say it again: bravo and thank you. That last weekly webinar you did on February 29th was quite possibly the best bit of education I've had about the market ever. So many light bulbs are going on for me about how all the different market forces interact with each other.
I also especially liked your zoom out onto the Supercycle and why LTBH has been successful in the past and will likely be less successful in the future. This strikes me as a very important piece of information that's going to affect everyone who is blindly putting their money into index funds every month.
Anyway, thank you very much for your attention to detail and your willingness to share all your research with us. Whatever your motivation for doing so, I hope you continue to find it fulfilling and stick around with I/O Fund for the long term.
Cheers
Bobby
Bobby H
Subscriber since 2023
I've been following you for the past one year or so and confidently can say there is no one equal nor can they match up to you. I like the fact that you analyze equities with clarity and explain in simple terms unlike the bombastic Wall Street analysts.
Thank you and so grateful for your inputs. 🙏
Babi A
Subscriber since March 2023
Fantastic article. Real in-depth and a learning opportunity for us investors. Thanks to you and your team I’ve made a lot of money on NVDA. I first bought in at 2017. Then in 2018 I read an excellent book called AI Superpowers and I doubled my position. Then when you wrote that ground breaking article and spelled it all out how NVDA will become the most valuable company in the world in a few years I went all in. NVDA’s now represents 37% of my whole portfolio and I have no plans to sell any shares. Just add on any substantial dips. Keep up the great work!
Stewart G
Subscriber since December 2020
Shout out to @Beth_Kindig You laid out perfectly why $META was a buy on Making Money yesterday. I now some of the audience bought the stock or held. You are one of the best tech analyst/investors in the best...period!
Charles V Payne
American Fox Business Network financial journalist
Just listened to the 2023 round up .
Want to thank you all you guys for doing such a great and sensible job . I believe all of you put a lot into giving really great service .
Please pass on the the message if possible, to both Beth and Knox.
I’ve just paid for the next year and I am really looking forward to the next journey ,
Kindest regards Philip
Philip S
Subscriber since June 2021
As a foreign subscriber to this service, I just want to thank you Knox for your crystal clear language. being able to follow your approach is worth every penny!
Jonas
Subscriber since May 2020
Hi IO Funders, I am a new subscriber for about a month now. I have had lots of research from large brokers and smaller shops that make trade recommendations. this email is to say I am loving your work and how you trade. the combo of the Technical analysis and fundamentals is amazing. And I agree fully with a comment from Beth on the last update that having a narrow list of top quality names is the way to go vs too many. This combined with the macro overlay plus Knox's TA-based analysis and tactics are really great.
Glad to be aboard
Joe B
Colchester, ct
ps - i joined after your recent real vision presentation
