I/O Fund Cumulative Returns of 47% More Than Double the Nasdaq.
The I/O Fund’s cumulative returns of 46.92% have more than doubled the Nasdaq since 2020 and are 174% better than institutional all-tech portfolios. The team is dedicated every day to continue outperforming the large corporations I/O Fund competes with.
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We Identify Microtrends to Beat Momentum
AI
The AI economy is expected to reach $15.7 trillion by 2030 which is four times larger than mobile. Our research predicts who will be the new FAANGs in the AI economy.
5G
We help position you to take advantage of this new infrastructure paradigm from 5G chips to edge computing to edge devices.
Cloud computing
We picked early winners in the secular category of cloud computing. Our research helps to differentiates cloud IaaS, PaaS and SaaS so you know what you own and why..
Telehealth
Artificial intelligence is merging with the medical industry to offer higher quality care at lower costs. Our research illuminates this promising sector.
I/O Fund Free Tech Stock Analysis
Newsletter
Nvidia Was Up 235% In 2023, Don’t Expect It To Continue
We’ve had unwavering conviction in Nvidia’s AI story since November of 2018. In fact, it was our leading position going into 2023 and our AI allocation of 45% exceeded Stanley Druckenmiller at 29%, meanwhile, Druckenmiller was celebrated for having a leading AI portfolio.
Stocks, Oil and the Dollar
The two most important markets that are driving the S&P 500 is oil and the US dollar. Both are suggesting a continuation of the equity rally for another leg higher, but then the also suggest a return to volatility over a longer time horizon. In this article, we will examine the levels that must hold, as well as introduce the important supporting markets to track right now so that one can maneuver any further upside in the markets as well as the coming volatility that may follow.
Major Top or One More High
September is widely known to be the worst month for tech as it’s the only month to see negative average returns for the past decade for the Nasdaq 100. Meanwhile, the index is entering September up 42.5% YTD, setting up investors who are sitting on paper gains for potentially a large disappointment. With this many cross currents, there is no shortage of well-supported narratives. For this reason, we believe the best means to navigate the current markets is by focusing on price. If we are going to see a major pullback, this will show up in specific price patterns breaking through critical support. Until then, we believe it wise to not fight the current trend, even with the high probability of a recession manifesting within the next six months.
Tesla’s Margins: How Low Will They Go?
Tesla stock has rallied through most of 2023 during a time when consensus was estimating sales to grow +23% y/y but earnings to decline 15%. The main driver behind the decline in earnings estimates is that Tesla has decided to lower prices to increase volumes at the expense of margins. Starting in Q322 through Q223, operating margins have declined from 17.2% to 9.6%. Initially, Tesla cited making sure certain models qualified for the EV tax credit and later higher interest rates as the primary reasons for lowering prices.
Nvidia Stock: How We Plan To Position For Q2 Earnings
Nvidia guided fiscal Q2 at $11 billion, which is 53% higher than analyst expectations of $7.2 billion. The stock was up 25% after hours, adding $200 billion to its market cap in the matter of a day.
