In this week's broad market video update, Knox explains why the next two weeks could determine the rest of 2022. Read his full technical analysis here. Taken from a 1-hour premium webinar, Knox shares his view on where the market may be headed in the coming weeks. While examining the current structure, Knox discusses whether or not the first leg of a larger bear market will last until 2023 or if there's something else going on. The broad market update also includes an overview of three scenarios that will be likely going forward and takes a look at the supporting markets such as crude oil and the U.S. dollar.
Broad Market Levels Timestamps:
00:00 - The Next Two Weeks Could be Very Telling
04:25 - Three Scenarios
09:31 - Key Levels
10:34 - Oil and Inflation Levels
12:15 - Interest Rates
13:13 - The U.S. Dollar
Three Broad Market Scenarios
Scenario #1: The Leading Diagonal
The first is the blue count, which is a leading diagonal that leads up to the 4,300 level. However, this scenario becomes less and less likely if the SPX remains below the 4,000 range.
Scenario #2: Five Waves
The second scenario is the red count, which is similar to the blue one in that it will go up to the 4,300 level. The only difference is that whereas the blue count will follow a 3 wave pattern, the red one will follow 5 waves.
Scenario #3: Three Waves
The final scenario is the orange count, which is a 3-wave drop to the 3,480 confluence level and to the 3,290 below that. Knox explains that although this is an unlikely scenario, there’s plenty of time to prepare.
Supporting Markets
Oil & Interest Rates
On Supporting Markets, Knox says there’s some temporary good news with oil and interest rates, but expects both markets to drag down equities in the future. He expects oil to break out of the 94 levels, while rates are closer to a low than the market.
The U.S. Dollar
Of all the supporting markets, only the U.S. Dollar is showing good signs for equities. Knox believes that the U.S. Dollar is reaching a meaningful top and expects that this will have a positive effect on equities going forward.
Read Knox's in-depth supporting full-technical analysis on the 09/01/2022 broad market levels here.
To get more free stock analysis on fundamentals and technicals, sign up for I/O Fund's free newsletter with gains of up to 403% - Click here.
Catch up on previous Broad Market Levels
In early July, the broad market failed to make new lows even despite the bad news. The CPI print came in at a 40-year high, followed by the producer price index surprising the upside. This told the market that inflation was still an issue and would likely be in the near future. This was then followed by mixed banks earnings, as reports of a looming economic slowdown and run-away inflation were starting to show up in earnings.
About I/O Fund Premium Stock Investing Services
Premium Members currently enjoy all 7 Premium benefits below.
- Premium library of institutional-level research and analysis, including fundamental stock analysis and advanced market signals on technicals and macro analysis.
- Weekly Webinars on advanced market signals and broad market, plus quarterly portfolio reviews on Long-Term Buy and Hold tech stocks.
- Technical Analysis on stocks and Broad Markets with charts on all major US markets, analysis of inflation and growth, as well as 60 global markets to help us focus on risk/reward for entries and position our portfolio based on the macro-environment.
- An Active Forum made up of a community of like-minded investors with robust conversations including both fundamental and tech product analysis.
- A completely Transparent Portfolio made up of long-term buy and hold positions, crypto, and Long/Short Momentum positions.
- Trade Alerts are sent directly to your phone via SMS and email.
- NEW! Automated Hedge with advanced signals to help spot approaching risk in the markets, with a 67% win rate going back to 2003 with only 40 signals triggered.
Sign up for Premium
About I/O Fund Portfolio Manager Knox Ridley
Knox Ridley began consulting on portfolios in 2007 and is an experienced growth investor in both bull and bear markets, which is hard to find these days. As the portfolio manager of the I/O Fund, he beat the top-performing funds on Wall Street in both 2020 and in 2021. His real-time trade notifications to premium subscribers have garnered 27 entries with over 100% gains in the last two years. Knox began his career as an ETF wholesaler in 2007 before becoming a portfolio consultant for large RIAs, FAs, and Institutional accounts. He is very keen on macro trends and is trained in Fibonacci Trading, Elliott Wave theory, as well as Gann Cycles. He also uses classical technical analysis to manage risk and identify great risk/reward setups. Knox is known for increasing and decreasing allocations for record-breaking returns.
Please note: The I/O Fund conducts research and draws conclusions for the Fund’s positions. We then share that information with our readers. This is not a guarantee of a stock’s performance. Please consult your personal financial advisor before buying any stock in the companies mentioned in this analysis.
