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Broad Market Levels: September 01, 2022
While examining the current broad market, Knox discusses whether or not the first leg of a larger bear market will last until 2023 or if there's something else going on. The broad market update also includes an overview of three scenarios that will be likely going forward and takes a look at the supporting markets such as crude oil and the U.S. dollar.
Why the Next Two Weeks Could Determine the Rest of 2022
For most of August, we have been providing free webinars in prior blog posts outlining an “imminent pullback.” You can access these here, and here. In this article, we will discuss key levels that must hold in order to maintain a long-term bullish bias. We also discuss why a direct drop to new lows may not play out, even if the bear market resumes. We then discuss the supporting markets that need to work in unison with equities before we can see a meaningful uptrend resume.
The Pullback is in Effect - Broad Market Levels - 08/26/2022
The pullback we've been warning about is in effect. We are in the middle of our target zone with 4000 SPX next. As long as we hold 4000/3975 and then turn back up to make one higher above 4330 SPX, the case for a new long-term bull market development remains intact.
Levels to Monitor in the Coming Pullback
In early July, the broad market failed to make new lows even despite bad news. The CPI print came in at a 40-year high, followed by the producer price index surprising to the upside. This told the market that inflation was still an issue and would likely be into the near future. This was then followed by mixed banks earnings, as reports of a looming economic slowdown and run-away inflation was starting to show up in earnings.
Top Ad-Tech Stocks: Q3 2022 Sector Overview
The ad-tech sector's performance is closely linked with the macroeconomy. This sector has been hit hard in the last few months due to global uncertainty. We believe this sector will recover when the economy starts picking up. It is practically impossible to time the market. However, we believe that being prudent and buying stocks during the downturn helps to outperform the market in the long term.
Broad Market Levels - August 18, 2022: Is a New Bull Cycle Building?
High-Frequency data continues to point toward a slowdown with inflation. The ECB is tone is getting more aggressive, while the FED’s tone is getting less aggressive. This would suggest that a new bull cycle is building as we speak.
Semiconductor Q3 2022 Overview
Semiconductor stocks have gained prominence due to growth drivers such as artificial intelligence, high-performance computing, 5G, robotics, machine learning, and electric vehicles. Despite semiconductor companies underperforming YTD, there is evidence that more supply will come online by the end of the year that will be met with equal or greater demand.
Microsoft Stock: Azure Growth Proves Resilient
Most investors agree that cloud is a critical trend to have in a portfolio as the category’s growth has been resilient due to increasing productivity while reducing costs. This is especially true for software-as-a-service whereas cloud infrastructure as-a-service does not always result in lower costs compared to on-premise servers.
