Blogs -Are We Finally Out of the Bear Market?

Are We Finally Out of the Bear Market?


July 28, 2022

author

Knox Ridley

Portfolio Manager

In this week’s Premium Stock Market Webinar, Knox continues the Bear Market correction discussion and analyzes FAANG stocks and three other premium stock positions. Watch this clip taken from the 1-hour technical stock analysis below for upcoming trends leading us into the fall season.

Watch Knox answer 5 broad market questions in the premium clip:

  1. Do we have a full corrective pattern? 
  2. What was the strongest move within this bear market?
  3. What major cycles are coming together and when?
  4. What are the major turning points coming ahead?
  5. What assets have been leading since the June Low?


Read Knox’s Technical Commentary

Getting out of the Bear Market

The broad market has broken the first of 2 bear market trend channels. This means that we are starting a new uptrend or we’re in the middle of a large-degree bear market bounce. We should see a bounce into the Fall, regardless of what is playing out.


Technical Trends out of June’s Low Point 

Small Caps, Cyclicals, and High Growth continue to lead off the June low. We are also seeing Junk Bonds catch a bid as well as long-dated bonds. These are risk-on assets, which tend to lead to going into a drawdown as well as coming out of one.

Both Yields and the Dollar are also in the process of supporting a rally in equities.


Sign up for Premium to hear Knox’s FAANG Technical Analysis

The FAANGs are a mixed bag; however, there is still strength in a handful of choice names, which we expect to resume leadership roles, while new FAANGs pick up the slack. Get the technicals on  FAANG stocks and three other premium stock positions when you sign up for Premium.


More about I/O Fund  Premium Stock Investing Services

Premium Members currently enjoy all 7 Premium benefits below:

  1. Premium library of institutional-level research and analysis, including fundamental stock analysis and advanced market signals on technicals and macro analysis.
  2. Weekly Webinars on advanced market signals and broad market, plus quarterly portfolio reviews on Long-Term Buy and Hold tech stocks.
  3. Technical Analysis on stocks and Broad Markets with charts on all major US markets, analysis of inflation and growth, as well as 60 global markets to help us focus on risk/reward for entries and position our portfolio based on the macro-environment.
  4. An Active Forum made up of a community of like-minded investors with robust conversations including both fundamental and tech product analysis.
  5. A completely Transparent Portfolio made up of long-term buy and hold positions, crypto, and Long/Short Momentum positions.
  6. Trade Alerts are sent directly to your phone via SMS and email.
  7. NEW! Automated Hedge with advanced signals to help spot approaching risk in the markets, with a 67% win rate going back to 2003 with only 40 signals triggered.

Sign up


About I/O Fund Portfolio Manager Knox Ridley


Knox Ridley began consulting on portfolios in 2007 and is an experienced growth investor in both bull and bear markets, which is hard to find these days. As the portfolio manager of the I/O Fund, he beat the top-performing funds on Wall Street in both 2020 and in 2021. His real-time trade notifications to premium subscribers have garnered 35 entries with over 100% gains in the last two years. Knox began his career as an ETF wholesaler in 2007 before becoming a portfolio consultant for large RIAs, FAs, and Institutional accounts. He is very keen on macro trends and is trained in Fibonacci Trading, Elliott Wave theory, as well as Gann Cycles. He also uses classical technical analysis to manage risk and identify great risk/reward setups. Knox is known for increasing and decreasing allocations for record-breaking returns.

head bg

Get a bonus for subscription!

Subscribe to our free weekly stock
analysis and receive the "AI Stock: 5
Things Nobody is Telling you" brochure
for free.

More To Explore

Newsletter

Bitcoin price chart signaling potential top despite favorable crypto news

Why Bitcoin’s Bull Run May Be Nearing a Top Despite Pro-Crypto Tailwinds

Since calling the Bitcoin bottom near $16,000 in late 2022, the I/O Fund has maintained a disciplined, contrarian approach — issuing 13 buy alerts before Bitcoin surged above $100,000. Now, signs sugg

May 09, 2025
S&P 500 hits key 2025 target as bond market and consumer trends signal rising volatility and shifting stock-bond correlation.

2025 Market Outlook: Why Stocks and Bonds Are Signaling More Volatility

As the S&P 500 reaches a key bounce target, troubling signs in bonds and consumer behavior suggest this market rally may be on thin ice. I/O Fund’s Knox Ridley explains why volatility may intensify an

May 02, 2025
Illustration of an investor holding an umbrella, shielding from stock market volatility.

The Impact of Tariffs on the Stock Market: Q1 Preview

Rising tariffs are injecting significant uncertainty into the stock market, triggering daily volatility and forcing analysts to revise earnings estimates. Our Q1 preview dives into the potential impac

April 25, 2025
Aerial view of Tesla's new Model Y Juniper parked in lines. Courtesy of Tesla, Inc.

Tesla Stock Faces Recalibration of Growth Expectations

Tesla’s stock is now facing a recalibration of expectations after Q1’s delivery report missed by a wide margin. Q1’s analyst consensus has gone from $25.98B at the start of the year to $23.97B in earl

April 17, 2025
an illustration of a government building, constrained by heavy chains, with a volatile stock chart displayed above.

The Fed Can’t Save This One: Why Bonds May Break the Stock Market in 2025

In early 2025, as markets rallied to new highs, we warned that divergence across key sectors signaled a looming correction. Now, with all major indexes in a technical bear market and bond market dysfu

April 11, 2025
Silhouette illustration of Larry Ellison, Oracle's CTO and executive chairman.

Oracle Stock Outlook: Revenue Could Double by FY2029, yet Targets Seem Lofty

Late in 2024, Oracle outlined an ambitious plan to nearly double its revenue by fiscal 2029, hinging on long-term growth in enterprise AI and cloud spending. Oracle sets itself apart from its hypersca

April 04, 2025
Graphic showing I/O Fund's "210% Cumulative Returns" with financial charts and a world map in the background.

I/O Fund Reports 210% Cumulative Return -- Ranking Above Wall Street's Best

In 2024, I/O Fund posted a 35% return, significantly outperforming popular tech ETFs, which recorded an 8% return over the same period. On a cumulative basis, the results translate to a remarkable 219

March 31, 2025
Illustration of an investor burdened by the weight of market downturn

The Harsh Truth: Retail Investors Take the Brunt of Market Losses

Retail investors face significant disadvantages in the stock market, often underperforming institutional investors by a wide margin. Studies show that high-frequency trading firms dominate market acti

March 28, 2025
Illustration of a futuristic AI data center featuring NVIDIA’s GB200 Superchip

NVIDIA’s GB200s for up to 27 Trillion Parameter Models: Scaling Next-Gen AI Superclusters

Supercomputers and advanced AI data centers are driving the AI revolution, enabling breakthroughs in deep learning and large-scale model training. As AI workloads become increasingly complex, next-gen

March 21, 2025
illustration of NVIDIA Blackwell Ultra chip with a glowing AI brain above it.

NVIDIA Blackwell Ultra Fuels AI & HPC Innovation, Efficiency and Capability  

NVIDIA’s latest Blackwell Ultra GPU, unveiled at NVIDIA GTC 2025, is transforming AI acceleration and high-performance computing (HPC). Designed for the “Age of Reasoning,” these cutting-edge GPUs del

March 21, 2025
newsletter

Sign up for Analysis on
the Best Tech Stocks

https://bethtechnology.cdn.prismic.io/bethtechnology/e0a8f1ff-95b9-432c-a819-369b491ce051_Logo_Final_Transparent_IOFUND.svg
The I/O Fund specializes in tech growth stocks and offers in-depth research for Premium Members. Investors get access to a transparent portfolio, a forum, webinars, and real-time trade notifications. Sign up for Premium.

We are on social networks


Copyright © 2010 - 2025