Beating Smart Money & Bloomberg Video
September 23, 2020
Lead Tech Analyst
I realize you have a choice in the newsletters you subscribe to and my way of saying thanks is to offer original analysis. Most newsletters will wait for breakouts and price momentum and then backfill the analysis. This creates a few issues from my perspective. The first is that conviction gets shaky when basing investments on price only as it requires a herd mentality to remain in a stock. The best gains come from getting in front of the herd. The second issue is that many tech companies go through periods of high growth yet can’t sustain this long-term unless there is excellent product market fit. Momentum investors and trend followers struggle most when it comes to FAANG-like gains because they can’t determine the true gems from those that are simply doing what most tech does (disrupt a market for a period of time).
Case Study: Zoom Video
On a recent Bloomberg interview, I discussed Zoom Video as the stock that is “sitting right under everyone’s nose” due to growth that we haven’t seen in my lifetime or yours and likely won’t see again over the next decade.
Tech Sector Is Only Going to Grow: Beth Kindig
This is a stock tip I released in the wake of the coronavirus shut-downs on April 3rd. There was a lot of noise in the market at that time due to the bull/bear market tug-o-war. I said, “If Silicon Valley unicorns are rare, then Zoom Video is a Pegasus.” The company then went on to accelerate from 78% year-over-year growth to 169% year-over-year analysis to 355% year-over-year growth. Keep in mind, I wrote this and maintained conviction even as the market began to question Zoom Video’s security issues.
We track institutional money flows by large volume spikes accompanied with a long candle pattern. We got out first indication that smart money was buying Zoom in bulk as indicated by the black arrow.
Case Study: Bandwidth
Bandwidth is a stock I covered on August 13th with a thesis around archaic telecom hardware becoming eradicated during and following the pandemic. I stated, “One trend I am monitoring closely for the more permanent effects is the disruption of telecom hardware systems through cloud-native communications” while spelling out why everything from SMBs to enterprises would seek to cut their telecom bills. From there, I wrote why I thought Bandwidth could out-perform long-term due to a solid list of customers, including Zoom, Google, Cisco, Microsoft, Skype, RingCentral and Square. I also discuss how Twilio is different from Bandwidth as this is a comparison that often comes up despite there being key differences at the product level.
This trend is still early yet we recently saw large institutional spikes in the stock. This is a great example as to why product-first analysis is key and how I try to give this to my free newsletter readers to help get them in front of trends the market may be overlooking.
Notice the large volume spike below accompanied with a large candlestick.
In conclusion, thanks again for being a newsletter subscriber. We hope to deliver more original analysis in the months and years to come.
p.s. If you’re not a free newsletter subscriber yet, you can sign up here.
Gains of up to 403% from our Free Newsletter.
Here are sample stock gains from the I/O Fund’s newsletter --- produced weekly and all for free!
+344% on Nvidia
+403% on Bitcoin
+218% on Roku
*as of March 15, 2022
Our newsletter provides an edge in the world’s most valuable industry – technology. Due to the enormous gains from this particular industry, we think it’s essential that every stock investor have a credible source who specializes in tech. Subscribe for Free Weekly Analysis on the Best Tech Stocks.
If you are a more serious investor, we have a premium service that offers lower entries and real-time trade alerts. Sample returns on the premium site include 324% on Zoom, 601% on Nvidia, 445% on Bitcoin, and 4-digits on an alt-coin. The I/O Fund is audited annually to prove it’s one of the best performing Funds on the market with returns that beat Wall Street funds.
More To Explore
Nvidia Was Up 235% In 2023, Don’t Expect It To Continue
We’ve had unwavering conviction in Nvidia’s AI story since November of 2018. In fact, it was our leading position going into 2023 and our AI allocation of 45% exceeded Stanley Druckenmiller at 29%, me
Stocks, Oil and the Dollar
The two most important markets that are driving the S&P 500 is oil and the US dollar. Both are suggesting a continuation of the equity rally for another leg higher, but then the also suggest a return
Major Top or One More High
September is widely known to be the worst month for tech as it’s the only month to see negative average returns for the past decade for the Nasdaq 100. Meanwhile, the index is entering September up 42
Tesla’s Margins: How Low Will They Go?
Tesla stock has rallied through most of 2023 during a time when consensus was estimating sales to grow +23% y/y but earnings to decline 15%. The main driver behind the decline in earnings estimates is
Nvidia Stock: How We Plan To Position For Q2 Earnings
Nvidia guided fiscal Q2 at $11 billion, which is 53% higher than analyst expectations of $7.2 billion. The stock was up 25% after hours, adding $200 billion to its market cap in the matter of a day.
Alphabet Stock: Search Giant Is Just Getting Started
Going into this year, we were positioned for bottom-line focused investment themes that we felt would be able to deliver earnings growth due to secular demand for its products, and in some cases, be a
This Next AI Trend Could be Worth Trillions
In the clip below, Beth Kindig discusses how AI will drive stock market caps well into the trillions of dollars.
NASDAQ REBALANCE: WHAT YOU NEED TO KNOW
On June 30th, the NASDAQ posted the strongest first six months in the index’s history, dating back to 1971. The 6-month returns of 30.5% in 2023 easily beats the prior record of 25.2% in 2019. The maj
Tesla Q2 Earnings – It’s About Margins
After the strong rally, it appears the market is taking profits on commentary around the outlook for margins. It’s not only that they were lower quarter-over-quarter (QoQ), but also Tesla provided zer
Semiconductor Stocks: Q2 Sector Overview
Semiconductors are the common denominator across the burgeoning technology trends of the next decade. Artificial Intelligence, 5G, high-performance computing, Internet-of-Things, gaming, electric vehi