Blogs -Blockchain Technology Interest Waning - OSCON

Blockchain Technology Interest Waning - OSCON


July 25, 2019

author

Beth Kindig

Lead Tech Analyst

The O’Reilly Open Source Convention (OSCON) is an annual convention for the discussion of free and open source software. Open source has seen tremendous support over the last decade after going through a dark winter of software commercialization in the 80s and 90s. A historical turning point was when Netscape released the Netscape Communicator internet suite as free software in 1998 and the source code was used to spur Mozilla Firefox, Thunderbird, SeaMonkey and KompoZer.

Background on Open Source:

Proponents of Free and Open Source (FOSS) during the 90s included heavy weight Microsoft, Oracle and IBM. For instance, a Microsoft executive stated in 2001 that “open source is an intellectual property destroyer. I can’t imagine something that could be worse than this for the software business and intellectual-property business.” Fast forward nearly two decades, and Microsoft has reversed direction, and is pining for the open source community to accept the company as a contributor and supporter of open source.

Tim O’Reilly of O’Reilly Media, and the founder of OSCON, was at the strategy session in April of 1998 when the term open source was coined. Open source software today has won the war with most software development containing open source code and many previously opposed corporations changing their stance to support FOSS. According to the Open Source Initiative, the movement has caused a $60 billion loss for proprietary software, which correlates to $60 billion in customer savings per year.

This year’s conference reflected the relative calm confidence around open source development with most keynotes used for marketing purposes to win over the attendees on using their services rather than anything news breaking. Google, Amazon, Microsoft and IBM were among those bidding for the crowd in the keynotes.

Blockchain Technology Decline: False Signal?

Interesting enough, O’Reilly’s insights showed blockchain technology losing interest from software developers in the keynote on developer audience insights. The term fell 18 points in their rank points to number 26 on search terms. Kubernetes, the open source container framework, was effectively number 1.

According to Brian Behlendorf of Hyperledger, blockchain technology is not likely to create the next Amazon or Google as it’s more of a cooperative consortium. In his session, “2019: Year of professionalization for open source blockchain,” he pointed out that 45% of companies stated they would join with their competitor on blockchain technology development.

With that said, 80% of companies have not put blockchain technology into production and the market is very early. Many mistakenly think blockchain technology is synonymous with crypto, however, some of the most compelling use cases today include traceability with the food supply chain, judicial consortium chain, routing and settling insurance claims, and digital identity within businesses and government agencies. These uses are currently being explored by companies, such as Wal-mart with FoodTrust, LegalX Chain, the Intelligent Health Care Network and the OrgBook.

Here are a few more companies putting blockchain technology into use:

  • NASA for secure flight data
  • Honeywell for used aircraft parts market
  • Chinese Central Bank’s has processed $4.36 billion on blockchain trade platform
  • Malta is using smart contracts to initiate and register rent remittance
  • Visa is planning to join a growing list of blockchain-based international payment providers

Behlendorf also pointed out that the United States is more averse to centralized technologies overall. Intermediaries in finance, such as SWIFT, are more comfortable for people in the United States compared to other countries around the world.  Therefore, the trends presented by O’Reilly may not be reflective of blockchain’s use globally.

In addition, venture funding in blockchain technology has reportedly tumbled 60% in 2019 from $1.6 billion, down from $4.1 billion in venture funding in 2018, according to CB Insights. Taking a closer look, CB Insights reported an increase in early stage funding from 80% of equity deals in 2017 to 88% of equity deals in 2019, with funding nearly non-existent at Series D and E.

https://images.prismic.io/bethtechnology/a9288153-eb62-4ae3-871c-533db18dd6fe_blockchain-technology-meteoric-rise.png?auto=compress,format

There are a few conclusions you can draw from this information:

  • Blockchain technology is incipient and not able to stand up to the premature pressure that initial coin offerings placed on the technology. With ICOs now fizzling, there is more wariness around blockchain than what is deserved (and scaring off VCs)
  • Blockchain technology is less of a venture-funded effort and more of a development effort, like a programming language or an internet protocol, with not much ROI to offer investors
  • Blockchain technology will be developed in-house at companies rather than requiring a startup ecosystem (similar to a new programming language)
  • Crypto is consolidating and other industries will need to be the impetus for blockchain’s commercialization
https://images.prismic.io/bethtechnology/b9f0e6d0-288e-4c9a-b3f4-ee4e9cd64941_blockchain-technology-developer-audience-insights.jpg?auto=compress,format

In the early 2000s, Python was a neglected programming language. Today, Python is the most widely used programming language, with the majority of the growth in the last five years. I think we are very early on blockchain and its potential should not be dismissed.

https://images.prismic.io/bethtechnology/e3c55923-a095-418d-9fd9-cdd2ba1fc008_Major-growth-programming-languages.png?auto=compress,format

Conclusion:

Blockchain databases are revolutionary and will disrupt the way many industries record and share data (beyond the financial industry). The recent withdraw of blockchain development interest is very common for new technologies. You can think of disruptive technology products like an ocean wave that comes in stronger with each attempt. Crypto pushed blockchain too hard, too soon. The market saw dollar signs rather than carefully architecting sustainable blockchain applications. We will be keeping an eye on companies for cheap, early investments in this area.

Want to know my best alt-coin recommendation? Out of 1,500 coins, I believe this is the winner. Premium research members receive recommendations and entry/exit scenarios on my favorite alt-coin, bitcoin and tech stocks. Learn more.

Recommended Reading:

Gains of up to 2,390% from our Free Newsletter.


Here are sample stock gains from the I/O Fund’s newsletter --- produced weekly and all for free!

+2,390% on Nvidia

+450% on Bitcoin

*as of Jun 25, 2024

Our newsletter provides an edge in the world’s most valuable industry – technology. Due to the enormous gains from this particular industry, we think it’s essential that every stock investor have a credible source who specializes in tech. Subscribe for Free Weekly Analysis on the Best Tech Stocks.

If you are a more serious investor, we have a premium service that offers lower entries and real-time trade alerts. Sample returns on the premium site include 3,900% on Nvidia, 850% on Chainlink, and 695% on Bitcoin. The I/O Fund is audited annually to prove it’s one of the best-performing Funds on the market, with returns that beat Wall Street funds.

beth

More To Explore

Newsletter

https://images.prismic.io/bethtechnology/ZpZ1bx5LeNNTxMuv_Tesla%E2%80%99sQ2DeliveriesStrong%2CButWhat%E2%80%99sToCome_.jpg?auto=format,compress

Tesla’s Q2 Deliveries Strong, But What’s To Come?

After months of being the lowest performing Mag 7 stocks, Tesla saw rapid gains — up 42% in a one month rally, with 37% of those gains in eight sessions — after it reported Q2 deliveries ahead of expe

July 16, 2024
Knox at SA conference

How to Participate in Tech: The Million Dollar Question (Video Highlights)

With audited returns of 131% since inception, compared to the NASDAQ-100’s 82%, portfolio manager, Knox Ridley, lays out how we have successfully maintained an overexposure to the right tech stocks, w

July 03, 2024
This AI Stock Could Outpace Nvidia’s Returns by 2030

This AI Stock Could Outpace Nvidia’s Returns by 2030

Lead Tech Analyst and CEO Beth Kindig recently joined Real Vision’s Nico Brugge to discuss her AI outlook on leading AI stock Nvidia, while sharing which AI stock she believes may outpace Nvidia’s ret

July 03, 2024
https://images.prismic.io/bethtechnology/ZoSrPR5LeNNTwvD3_AIPCStocksEmerging2024And2025Story.jpg?auto=format,compress

AI PC Stocks: Emerging 2024 And 2025 Story

Currently, there is a major bottleneck right now for AI applications to where client devices are not powerful enough or energy efficient enough to leverage AI capabilities at the edge.

July 01, 2024
AI image

AI Power Consumption: Rapidly Becoming Mission-Critical

Big Tech is spending tens of billions quarterly on AI accelerators, which has led to an exponential increase in power consumption. Over the past few months, multiple forecasts and data points reveal s

June 24, 2024
With Bitcoin at All-Time Highs, Here’s What’s Next for COIN, HOOD

With Bitcoin at All-Time Highs, Here’s What’s Next for COIN, HOOD

Bitcoin and the spot BTC ETFs have clearly seen strong investor appetite since the approval in the beginning of the year. Alongside strong initial adoption of the new ETF class, we’re also seeing majo

June 13, 2024
Jensen Huang Presentation

Here's Why Nvidia Stock Will Reach $10 Trillion Market Cap By 2030

I believe Nvidia can achieve an astonishing $10 trillion market cap by 2030. As you’ll see from the key points to my thesis, there is a bull case where a $10T market cap estimate in a little over six

June 10, 2024
TSMC Building

Taiwan Semiconductor Stock: April Sales Soar From Advanced Nodes

Despite warning of a slowdown in the broader semiconductor industry this year, TSMC’s April sales surged 60% YoY and 21% MoM. This marks a positive start to the 20-percentage point acceleration to 33%

June 02, 2024
Jensen Huang Presentation

Nvidia Q1 Earnings Preview: Blackwell And The $200B Data Center

Nvidia’s management team will focus on the H200 in the upcoming earnings call, but make no mistake, we will end this year in full-on Blackwell territory. The new architecture is at the forefront of tr

May 28, 2024
Amazon Building

Amazon Stock: Nearing $2 Trillion Club From AWS Growth & Ads Catalyst

Amazon is on the verge of joining the $2 Trillion Club, driven by a 4-percentage point accelerating in AWS to 17% YoY growth combined with strong 25% growth in advertising revenue.

May 21, 2024
newsletter

Sign up for Analysis on
the Best Tech Stocks

https://bethtechnology.cdn.prismic.io/bethtechnology/e0a8f1ff-95b9-432c-a819-369b491ce051_Logo_Final_Transparent_IOFUND.svg
The I/O Fund specializes in tech growth stocks and offers in-depth research for Premium Members. Investors get access to a transparent portfolio, a forum, webinars, and real-time trade notifications. Sign up for Premium.

We are on social networks


Copyright © 2010 - 2024