Top Ad-Tech Stocks: Q3 2022 Sector Overview
August 23, 2022
Beth Kindig
Lead Tech Analyst
This article was originally published on Forbes on Aug 18, 2022,12:37pm EDT
The ad-tech sector's performance is closely linked with the macroeconomy. This sector has been hit hard in the last few months due to global uncertainty. We believe this sector will recover when the economy starts picking up. It is practically impossible to time the market. However, we believe that being prudent and buying stocks during the downturn helps to outperform the market in the long term.
Below we review the stocks in the sector to find out which companies have performed well in the recent quarter results and which companies stand out in revenue growth, profits, cash flows, and earnings surprise.
Top Ad-Tech Stocks with the highest revenue growth rates in Q2
Source: YCharts
FuboTV led the ad-tech sector with the highest revenue growth rate in the recent Q2 results. The company’s revenue grew by 70% YoY to $221.9 million. North American revenue grew by 65% YoY to $216.2 million. For the next quarter, it expects North American revenue from $200 million to $205 million, representing a YoY growth of 29% at the mid-point of the guidance.
The company also announced that it would place Fubo Gaming under strategic review due to the changing macro environment. David Gandler, co-founder and CEO of the company, said, “We recognized that the market has changed and therefore, we have made the decision to place fubo Gaming, our online sports wagering business under strategic review. We will no longer pursue this opportunity on our own and are exploring the best path forward to scale the business. We look forward to continuing to update you as conversations progress.” The market reaction was positive following the strong results and the announcement on gaming.
The company’s first investor day on August 16th drew interest as the stock closed the day with 45% gains. The company’s CFO, John Janedis, said, "We continue to work towards long-term targets of adjusted EBITDA profitability and positive cash flow in 2025, and the Fubo flywheel will help us track towards that goal, as we execute a plan of controlled growth, alongside margin expansion."
Quarterly Revenue Surprise
Source: YCharts
DoubleVerify has crushed the analysts’ revenue estimates by 8% in the Q2 results and leads the ad-tech sector. It was followed by PubMatic, which beat analysts’ revenue estimates by 4%. PubMatic’s Q2 revenue grew by 27% YoY to $63 million, and the company reported an adjusted EPS of $0.23, which beat the analysts’ estimates by $0.08. The company’s CFO, Steve Pantelick, said, “We saw broad strength in the Americas region, led by fast-growing ad formats CTV, online video and mobile, and continued momentum in Supply Path Optimization.” The company also benefitted from the diversified portfolio of advertisers from over 20 different verticals.
Sign up for I/O Fund's free newsletter with gains of up to 403% - Click here
Top Ad-Tech stocks with the highest revenue growth estimate for Q3
Source: YCharts
The Ad-Tech stocks are expected to show strong growth rates in Q3. IAC leads the sector, with the analysts’ expecting its revenue to grow 44%, followed by FuboTV, which is expected to grow 37%, and DoubleVerify is expected to grow 32%. Advertisement measurement and analytics company DoubleVerify shares got listed in April 2021. The company’s revenue in Q2 grew by 43% YoY to $109.8 million. The company’s CEO, Mark Zagorski, said, “We delivered an outstanding second quarter and surpassed our expectations for growth and profitability fueled by record Activation revenue and continued momentum on Social and CTV platforms,” The company also raised the full-year revenue guidance from a 33% YoY growth to 35% YoY growth of $449 million at the mid-point of the guidance.
Top Ad-Tech stocks with the highest revenue growth estimate for Q4
Source: Seeking Alpha
The Trade Desk leads the sector with the strongest expected revenue growth rates for Q4. The company’s revenue in the recent quarter grew by 35% YoY to $377 million and beat analysts’ revenue estimates by 3%. Truist analyst Youssef Squali, said in a note to the clients. "Strength in [connected TV] and record new client relationships drove this performance, which is likely sustainable in [second-half 2022] given 100% Solimar adoption, continued momentum in CTV, in shopper [marketing] and in international, with the additional kicker of political spend around the midterms."
Top Ad-Tech stocks with the highest revenue growth estimate for the current fiscal year
Source: YCharts
For the current fiscal year, analysts expect FuboTV to have the highest revenue growth estimate among ad-tech stocks. It is followed by IAC, which analysts expect to grow by 49%, and DoubleVerify is expected to grow by 35%.
Sign up for I/O Fund's free newsletter with gains of up to 403% - Click here
Ad-Tech Stocks based on forward P/S ratio
Source: YCharts
Ad-tech stocks are trading at a very low valuation. We can see from the above chart that the majority of the ad-tech stocks are trading at a forward P/S ratio of below 5.
The P/S ratio chart below shows how Meta Platforms and Netflix are trading at a discount compared to the past five-year period. Companies like Netflix lost cash in 2019 when the company was building the original content pipeline. Now, the management is guiding for free cash flow of $1 billion this year and ‘substantial’ free cash flow in 2023.
Source: YCharts
Top ranked Ad-Tech stocks based on Free Cash Flow Margin
Source: YCharts
Magnite leads the ad-tech sector with the highest free cash flow margin of 27%. It is followed by The Trade Desk, which has a free cash flow margin of 23% and DoubleVerify has 18%.
Top ranked Ad-Tech stocks based on Net Profit Margin
Source: YCharts
Meta Platforms leads the ad-tech sector with the highest net profit margin. The company’s revenue declined for the first time in Q2. Revenue fell by 1% YoY to $28.8 billion. The company is looking to reduce its expenses due to the revenue slowdown to maintain strong margins. For the full year, it expects total expenses of $85 billion to $88 billion, down from the last quarter’s guidance of $87 billion to $92 billion and the prior estimate of $90 billion to $95 billion.
Royston Roche, Equity Analyst at the I/O Fund, contributed to this article.
Gains of up to 2,880% from our Free Newsletter.
Here are sample stock gains from the I/O Fund’s newsletter --- produced weekly and all for free!
2,880% on Nvidia
750% on Bitcoin
*as of Nov 20, 2024
Our newsletter provides an edge in the world’s most valuable industry – technology. Due to the enormous gains from this particular industry, we think it’s essential that every stock investor have a credible source who specializes in tech. Subscribe for Free Weekly Analysis on the Best Tech Stocks.
If you are a more serious investor, we have a premium service that offers lower entries and real-time trade alerts. Sample returns on the premium site include 4,490% on Nvidia, 900% on Chainlink, and 1,120% on Bitcoin. The I/O Fund is audited annually to prove it’s one of the best-performing Funds on the market, with returns that beat Wall Street funds.
Get a bonus for subscription!
Subscribe to our free weekly stock
analysis and receive the "AI Stock: 5
Things Nobody is Telling you" brochure
for free.
More To Explore
Newsletter
AI Spending To Exceed A Quarter Trillion Next Year
Big Tech’s AI spending continues to accelerate at a blistering pace, with the four giants well on track to spend upwards of a quarter trillion dollars predominantly towards AI infrastructure next year
Palantir Stock: How High Is Too High?
Palantir proved again in Q3 that it’s undeniably one of the stronger AI software stocks in the market outside of the cloud hyperscalers. The company reported visible AI-driven growth and persisting bu
Bitcoin Bull Market Intact as Risk Increases
In December 2022, we boldly stated that “Bitcoin is a buy” when it was trading around $17,000. We were positioning for a new bull cycle and projected a target between $75,000 - $132,000. Despite Bitco
Tesla Stock: Margins Bounce Back For AI-Leader
Tesla is arguably one of the most advanced AI companies in the world, yet its stock is dictated by margins. Over the past three years, Tesla’s average gross profit per vehicle has declined by 60%, fal
This Stock Is Crushing Salesforce, MongoDB And Snowflake In AI Revenue
In this article, I break down how Palantir’s AIP is putting it a step above peer Salesforce, MongoDB and Snowflake with visible AI growth, and its undeniable ‘secret sauce’.
Nvidia, Mag 7 Flash Warning Signs For Stocks
In this report, my team will address the risks brewing in the market. The strange behavior in the bond market could be signaling that the FOMC has made a policy error. This coupled with key tech stock
Why the I/O Fund is Not Buying Nvidia Right Now: Video Interview
In an interview with Darius Dale, Beth Kindig stated: “We ultimately think you can get Nvidia lower than where it is trading now. We are likely to take gains between $120 and $150 based on technical l
Cybersecurity Stocks Seeing Early AI Gains
Below, I look at the demand environment for leading cybersecurity stocks CrowdStrike, Zscaler, Palo Alto, and Fortinet, and which ones have key metrics hinting toward underlying strength.
4 Things Investors Must Know About AI
We’re still in the early innings of AI, but the pace of transformation that AI is driving is unlike any other technology seen before, and that was evident at Communacopia. Below, I dig in to the four
AI PCs Have Arrived: Shipments Rising, Competition Heating Up
Chipmakers Qualcomm, Intel and AMD are working to bring AI-capable PCs to the “mainstream”, delivering powerful neural processing units to PCs for on-computer AI operations. AI PCs are not only a cons