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Cloud Software

How Agentic AI Is Squeezing SaaS Margins

Written by

I/O Fund Editorial Team

Research Team

Published: October 16, 2026

Last Updated: October 16, 2026

For more than two decades, enterprise software has been one of Wall Street’s favorite business models: build the product once, scale up additional users at almost no extra cost, and collect recurring revenue at gross margins near 80%. Agentic AI is challenging enterprise software’s successful business model from two different directions simultaneously.   

Unlike traditional SaaS products where an additional user action costs almost nothing to serve, autonomous AI agents consume compute for every reasoning step, data retrieval, and action they perform. This transforms software’s cost of goods sold into a direct, variable expense that grows corresponding to usage.  

With increasing AI adoption and rising compute costs, the enterprise software sector is experiencing a sharp split into two halves. The first half are the ones getting squeezed, vendors relying on flat, seat-based pricing being forced to absorb rising compute bills internally. This group is seeing their gross margins narrow and revenue growth decelerate. On the other side, thriving vendors are monetizing agent workloads separately, through consumption credits, usage metering, or per-resolution billing. These vendors are successfully passing inference costs to their customers and accelerating top-line growth.  

How AI Agents Create Variable Compute Costs for SaaS Companies

Conventional SaaS’s financial foundation lies in high operating leverage, with fixed upfront R&D costs but minimal incremental expenses for scaling from 1,000 to 100,000 user seats. This is why software vendors have traditionally enjoyed gross margins of 75% to 80%.  

AI agents disrupt SaaS’s traditional “build once, sell many times” model. Every task an agent performs, whether it’s reasoning through a problem, pulling data or taking an action, burns tokens, and tokens cost money. The more complex the task, the higher the token usage, and the bigger the bill. Anthropic’s engineering measurements estimate that a single agent uses 4x more tokens than a standard chat, which can go up to 15x for a multi-agent system.  

As tasks with higher complexity consume more tokens, the compute burden on software platforms expands exponentially. For instance, Google’s monthly token volume surged from 9.7 trillion in May 2024 to 3.2 quadrillion by May 2026. 

AI Adoption Is Driving Margin Compression Across SaaS Vendors

 Line chart comparing gross margins for HubSpot, ServiceNow, and Microsoft Cloud between June 2025 and June 2026, showing declines across all three companies.
Comparison of gross margins in June 2025 and June 2026 for HubSpot, ServiceNow, and Microsoft Cloud. HubSpot’s margin declined from 87.1% to 85.3%, ServiceNow’s from 83.0% to 80.5%, and Microsoft Cloud’s from 69.0% to 65.0%. The changes shown are -1.8 percentage points for HubSpot, -2.5 percentage points for ServiceNow, and -4.0 percentage points for Microsoft Cloud.

The financial impact of this compute burden has already started showing up in public earnings reports. ServiceNow’s subscription gross margins fell from 83% to 80.5% over the past year. Management has explicitly attributed this decline across two consecutive quarters to rising AI adoption costs. During the same period, Microsoft Cloud’s gross margins contracted from 69% to 65%, driven by heavy AI infrastructure outlays and expanding usage.  

HubSpot’s non-GAAP subscription gross margins slipped from 87.1% to 85.3% due to rising AI usage. Workday’s cost of subscription services rose 17.8% in its latest quarter, outpacing subscription revenue growth of 13.9% as the company expanded its agentic AI strategy.  

Google’s monthly tokens grew 330x in two years, and the forecasts keep falling behind. Sign up for our free weekly newsletter to see how we track AI token demand and which infrastructure stocks stand to benefit as it climbs. 

AI Native Software Companies Face Structurally Lower Gross Margins

AI-native application startups show a similar trend emerging, where compute is the primary COGS and this cost structure leads. Because these applications rely on frontier LLMs for nearly every customer action, their gross margins range from 25% to 60%, compared to traditional SaaS’s 80% gross margins.  

Bessemer’s fastest-growing “Supernovas” average around 25% gross margins, with many frequently dipping into negative territory due to usage spikes. Replit is another example where gross margins contracted from 36% to 23% in 2025 due to surging AI usage, while Cursor ran negative gross margins on select plans before overhauling its pricing structure.  

SaaS Companies Shift From Seat-Based Pricing to AI Usage-Based Pricing

To defend gross margins, enterprise software platforms are now experimenting with new pricing models, resulting in wide price variations across the sector. Salesforce charges $2 per Agentforce conversation or $0.10 per action via Flex Credits. Intercom charges $0.99 per resolution for its Fin agent, while Zendesk bills between $1.20 and $2 per resolution.  

However, intense competition has already triggered price wars among vendors for agentic AI solutions. HubSpot slashed its Customer Agent price by 50% to $0.50 per resolution, while Oracle now bundles 22 AI agents into Fusion at no additional cost. Meanwhile, Salesforce’s Chief Revenue Officer stated that the company is willing to accept unprofitable flat-fee agent deals upfront to secure accounts.  

Beth Kindig, founder and lead tech analyst of I/O Fund

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Table comparing 2026 AI agent pricing models across enterprise software vendors, including per-seat, usage-based, per-conversation, and bundled pricing.
Comparison of 2026 AI agent pricing models across major enterprise software vendors. The table groups offerings into per-seat subscriptions, usage- or credit-based pricing, per-conversation or per-resolution pricing, and agents included at no additional cost. Examples include Microsoft 365 Copilot at $30 per user per month, Salesforce Agentforce add-on at $125 per user per month, Salesforce Flex Credits at $0.10 per action, Intercom Fin at $0.99 per resolution, HubSpot Customer Agent at $0.50 per resolution, and Oracle Fusion AI agents bundled at no extra cost.

How AI Agents Threaten SaaS Pricing and Seat-Based Revenue

While outcome-based and per-resolution billing protects customers from paying for unused software, it shifts operational risk onto the software vendors. Under per-resolution pricing, the vendor absorbs the compute cost of every failed reasoning attempt, wrong answer, or hallucination prior to reaching a successful resolution.  

Furthermore, as AI agents become capable of executing tasks autonomously, enterprises require fewer human seats. Gartner estimates that up to $234 billion in enterprise software spending, roughly 20% of the market, is at risk by 2030 as AI agents bypass traditional seat-based licenses.  

How Agentic AI Is Creating Winners and Losers Across SaaS

Performance is clearly diverging across public software companies based on how effectively they monetize agent compute. Software incumbents that turn agents into separately monetized products are maintaining momentum. Salesforce’s AgentForce ARR growth accelerated from 169% YoY in Q4 to 205% in Q1 and 240% YoY in Q2, crossing $1.5 billion. Atlassian has also announced that it will move to meter usage of its Rovo AI agents starting December 3.  

Additionally, data platforms that power agentic retrieval are also experiencing accelerated demand. Snowflake reported a 7-point growth in Product revenue to 37% YoY with 126% NRR. MongoDB posted a 23-point rebound in Enterprise Advanced revenue growth to 36% YoY in Q2.  

On the other hand, seat-based vendors are seeing revenue decelerate as customers optimize software budgets and seat counts stall. Monday.com guided for a 6-point drop to 16%-17% growth, marking its first quarter in public history below 20%. HubSpot expects growth to slow from 20% in Q2 down to 14% YoY in Q3, and net customer adds to drop from 7,000 to 5,500. Asana reported its ninth consecutive quarter with <10% growth and an overall NRR of 97%.  

3 Key Metrics Investors Should Watch Next

As agentic AI transforms enterprise software from a fixed-cost subscription model into a variable-compute service, investor success depends on identifying which vendors can maintain their pricing models and defend gross margins. Investors should closely watch three interconnected signals as they navigate this structural shift.  

One key metric to watch is compressing subscription gross margins at AI-heavy SaaS vendors due to increased agent usage, similar to ServiceNow and Microsoft Cloud. Second, monitor if vendors are successfully transitioning customers away from pure seat-based licenses toward consumption-based or per-resolution pricing models. Finally, NRR and product revenue acceleration at underlying data infrastructure layers like MongoDB and Snowflake that benefit directly from agent retrieval queries can also shed light on the impact of agentic AI on SaaS pricing.  

The I/O Fund has built a strong track record in lesser-known AI winners, including an energy stock up more than 1,300% since our initial entry last year, an optical networking stock up 325%, and two of our largest AI positions up 183% and 130% year to date. 

We publish more than 100 paywalled articles each year on AI stocks, supported by an actively managed portfolio and real-time trade alerts. 

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Please note: The I/O Fund conducts research and draws conclusions for the company’s portfolio. We then share that information with our readers and offer real-time trade notifications. This is not a guarantee of a stock’s performance and it is not financial advice. Please consult your personal financial advisor before buying any stock in the companies mentioned in this analysis. 

Aiswarya Gopan, AI and Semiconductor Investment Writer at I/O Fund, contributed to this analysis.

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About the author

I/O Fund Editorial Team

I/O Fund Editorial Team

The I/O Fund Editorial Team writes educational guides that explain investing concepts, market terms, and the technology behind today's markets. All content is researched from trusted sources, fact-checked, and reviewed by an I/O Fund analyst before it is published. This content is for educational purposes only and is not investment advice or a stock recommendation.

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