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Cybersecurity Stocks

3 AI Trends Driving the 2026 Cybersecurity Stocks Rally

Written by

I/O Fund Team

Research Team

Published: October 31, 2026

Last Updated: October 31, 2026

Key Points

  • Cybersecurity leaders far outpaced the market in 2026. As of October 23, Okta (OKTA) was up 146% for the year, CrowdStrike (CRWD) 120% and Palo Alto Networks (PANW) 106%. The sector experienced much volatility in October over news reports about OpenAI, AI-discovered software flaws, and Fortinet’s quarterly results.
  • AI-enabled attacks are expanding what companies must defend. CrowdStrike found that AI-enabled adversaries increased their operations 89% in 2025, and IBM reports that one in four breaches is now AI-enabled. AI labs are also turning to security vendors. For instance, OpenAI brought in CrowdStrike to verify a July incident and now uses Falcon to monitor its coding agents.
  • Customers are consolidating onto security platforms. ARR from CrowdStrike accounts on Falcon Flex topped $2.29 billion, up 101%, and Palo Alto added a record 220 net new platformizations in its latest fiscal quarter.
  • Cybersecurity companies' valuations sit far above historical levels. CrowdStrike trades at 50.9x trailing sales against a 10-year median of about 26x, and Palo Alto is 178% above its median. When Fortinet (FTNT) reported 20% revenue growth and raised guidance on October 28, its stock still fell about 25% overnight.

OpenAI co-founder and President Greg Brockman revealed some interesting insights on cybersecurity during his appearance on the No Priors podcast in mid-October 2026. He remarked, “Cyber spend, security spend, should actually vastly outstrip software spend.” The statement stems from existing practices at OpenAI, where around 25% of production engineers are moved to security work whenever new AI models launch. All of these engineers’ projects are put on hold as they focus on securing existing systems, a process Brockman expects to repeat with the launch of every new model.  

In early September, we stated that AI could become “a significant tailwind” for the cybersecurity sector amid expanding enterprise attack surfaces driving the need for sustained software support. In the weeks that followed, leading cybersecurity stocks saw a strong rally into early October, with CrowdStrike and Palo Alto Networks reaching record highs on October 6. However, the sector has seen much volatility since then, heading lower around mid-October over reports about OpenAI and bouncing back higher on news about AI-discovered software flaws, followed by another dip on Fortinet’s earnings report on October 28.  

The growing demand for cybersecurity amid rising AI adoption is showing up in three different ways in reported data. AI-enabled cyberattacks are on the rise, frontier AI labs are turning to cybersecurity vendors to tackle them, and customers are consolidating on security platforms. While the first two factors have been instrumental in driving the 2026 cybersecurity stock rally, they are also making them highly volatile to news developments, as valuations in this sector sit far above their historical ranges.  

Leading Cybersecurity Stocks More Than Doubled in 2026

By late October, the leading cybersecurity companies continued to outperform the broader market. As of October 28, Okta was up 157% for the year, CrowdStrike at 127%, and Palo Alto Networks had registered an 114% YTD gain. The First Trust NASDAQ Cybersecurity ETF (CIBR) had also registered a gain of nearly 50%, against the Nasdaq-100’s 18% YTD gains. Only Zscaler lagged with a gain of around 13% during this period.  

The pullback in mid-October was partially related to M&A news from OpenAI. On October 13, The Information reported that OpenAI was planning to acquire cybersecurity startup Trail of Bits. Software investors, already wary of potential AI disruption in their sector, briefly feared that frontier AI labs could be looking to commoditize traditional enterprise security tools. Cybersecurity stocks ended the day lower on the news, with Palo Alto declining 4%, CrowdStrike 3% and Fortinet down 1%.   

However, the selloff reversed the following week when AI-discovered flaws in PHP, the programming language used for much of the web, made headlines. Although the PHP Foundation released fixes on October 21, resulting concerns drove a rally in cybersecurity stocks. In the week of October 19, Zscaler gained nearly 23%, Okta saw 13.8% gains, and CrowdStrike and Palo Alto were up 13.4% and 11.2%, respectively. The volatility in the cybersecurity extended into the following week when Fortinet’s Q3 earnings on October 28 sent stocks lower again.  

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AI-Enabled Cyberattacks Rose 89% in 2025

We believe AI is a tailwind for cybersecurity as it expands the attack surface that companies have to defend. According to CrowdStrike’s 2026 Global Threat Report, AI-enabled adversaries increased their operations by 89% in 2025. In its 2026 Cost of a Data Breach study, IBM reported that one in four security breaches is now AI-enabled. These AI-enabled breaches not only grew in number, but also caused higher damages, costing around $6 million on average against a $4.99 million global average.  

Frontier AI labs are unable to manage risks from AI-enabled attacks by themselves. In July, when an OpenAI model broke out of a test environment and accessed Hugging Face servers, OpenAI relied on CrowdStrike to verify the incident, as I/O Fund reported in September. 

Companies are also responding in a similar manner, as awareness about the potential of frontier models in cyberattacks grows. According to IBM, 85% of organizations plan to raise security spending after learning about frontier models’ cyber capabilities, up from 64% in 2025. Gartner also forecasts that organizations could raise their spending on platforms that secure AI systems, from around $3 billion in 2026 to $7.7 billion in 2028.  

AI Labs Are Partnering with Security Vendors

Frontier AI labs primarily serve as partners to security leaders rather than directly competing with them. CrowdStrike’s Falcon platform monitors OpenAI’s Codex agents, available for sale directly on OpenAI Marketplace since September 29. Palo Alto Networks CEO Nikesh Arora has shared a similar observation, remarking that OpenAI, Anthropic, and Google “come to the table in terms of partnerships.”   

OpenAI’s talks with Trail of Bits are an exception here and are worth following. Trail of Bits already works with OpenAI on “Patch the Planet,” an initiative that forms part of OpenAI’s Daybreak cyber program. OpenAI CEO Sam Altman has acknowledged the scale of this problem, remarking, “I no longer think we’re gonna be able to just patch all the bugs.” 

Enterprises Are Consolidating Onto Cybersecurity Platforms

Cybersecurity companies’ earnings reports offer the clearest evidence of the AI tailwind for the sector, which indicate that customers are buying more from fewer security vendors. CrowdStrike Falcon Flex’s flexible consumption model lets customers draw on multiple models under one contract. As a result, Flex’s ARR crossed $2.2 billion in the quarter ended July 31, a 101% YoY growth. Moreover, 51% of CrowdStrike’s subscription customers now use six or more modules.  

Beth Kindig, founder and lead tech analyst of I/O Fund

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In fiscal Q4 2026, Palo Alto Networks secured around 220 platformization deals, more than double the pace than two years ago, with clients consolidating network, cloud, and security operations center (SOC) management. Net revenue retention among platformized customers crossed 120% while its Prisma AIRS AI security product saw its ARR exceed $100 million. These figures indicate that integrated security providers capturing multi-module adoption continue to absorb a growing share of rising enterprise budgets.     

Additionally, platforms like CrowdStrike are expected to grow quicker than the overall market as well as quicker than the single-point solution vendors it is aiming to replace. For example, CrowdStrike’s revenue is forecast to grow at 23% CAGR through FY2029, more than double Gartner’s estimated 11% annual growth for the global cybersecurity market and also more than double Okta’s 10% growth and triple Tenable’s 7%.  

Cybersecurity Stock Valuations Remain Elevated in 2026

Cybersecurity leaders are expensive stocks in 2026, simply going by historical valuations. According to data from GuruFocus, each of the leading stocks are trading well above its 10-year median P/S ratio, based on trailing 12-month revenue.  

Cybersecurity stocks trade above historical valuations, with Palo Alto at a 178% premium and CrowdStrike at 93%.
Despite strong revenue growth, leading cybersecurity stocks continue to trade well above their historical price-to-sales multiples. Palo Alto Networks carries the largest premium to its 10-year median valuation at 178%, while CrowdStrike trades 93% above its historical average, highlighting elevated investor expectations across the sector.

As noted above, CrowdStrike trades at 50.9x trailing sales, 93% above its 10-year median of 26.4x. Other top cybersecurity vendors echo a similar sentiment, with Fortinet trading at around 13x trailing sales, 81% above its median of about 9.6x, and Palo Alto Networks at around 26.2x, 178% above its median 9.4x.   

On October 28, Fortinet announced its latest earnings, giving us a closer look at what these multiples mean in practice. The company’s Q3 revenue grew 20% to $2.08 billion, while billings were up 29% to $2.34 billion, and product revenue saw a 37% increase. Fortinet also raised its full-year guidance, with CEO Ken Xie observing that “as AI introduces entirely new attack surfaces, Network Security remains the critical foundation of AI Security.” However, Fortinet’s stock fell around 25% in overnight trading from $174.08 to $131.42, while CrowdStrike, Palo Alto, Okta and Zscaler were down by around 5%. Fortinet’s revenue growth slowed down from 26% in Q2, while service revenue, which makes up around 63% of sales, was up by around 13%.  

Fortinet’s sharp drop after earnings release despite strong reported growth indicates investors’ high expectations from leading cybersecurity companies. 

Top AI Security Themes to Follow in 2026 and Beyond

AI is transforming enterprises’ attack surfaces, and three key markets will show how companies’ needs to protect will play out in the near future. Gartner forecasts that spending on securing AI could research $7.7 billion by 2028. Product disclosures such as Palo Alto’s Prisma AIRS ARR and CrowdStrike’s monitoring of OpenAI’s coding agents show the spending reaching vendors quickly.  

Falcon Flex’s ARR and Palo Alto’s platformization count are some metrics that track this each quarter. Palo Alto is expected to publish its earnings report on November 18 while CrowdStrike reports on December 1. As of writing, OpenAI is officially partnering with CrowdStrike. Whether its reported acquisition talks with Trail of Bits materialize into a deal will show how far frontier AI labs are willing to move into security themselves.  

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Please note: The I/O Fund conducts research and draws conclusions for the company’s portfolio. We then share that information with our readers and offer real-time trade notifications. This is not a guarantee of a stock’s performance and it is not financial advice. Please consult your personal financial advisor before buying any stock in the companies mentioned in this analysis. 

Aiswarya Gopan, AI and Semiconductor Investment Writer at I/O Fund, contributed to this analysis.

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