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The Next Market AI Will Disrupt Is Cybersecurity

The Next Market AI Will Disrupt Is Cybersecurity

Cybersecurity is one of the highest costs that enterprises face at 12% of IT budgets on average, and this cost is rapidly rising. While a company can lay off staff or reduce marketing and R&D expenses during a period of lower growth, enterprises cannot compromise on cybersecurity.

October 04, 2023
Nvidia Was Up 235% In 2023, Don't Expect It To Continue

Nvidia Was Up 235% In 2023, Don’t Expect It To Continue

We’ve had unwavering conviction in Nvidia’s AI story since November of 2018. In fact, it was our leading position going into 2023 and our AI allocation of 45% exceeded Stanley Druckenmiller at 29%, meanwhile, Druckenmiller was celebrated for having a leading AI portfolio.

September 26, 2023
Stocks, Oil and the Dollar

Stocks, Oil and the Dollar

The two most important markets that are driving the S&P 500 is oil and the US dollar. Both are suggesting a continuation of the equity rally for another leg higher, but then the also suggest a return to volatility over a longer time horizon. In this article, we will examine the levels that must hold, as well as introduce the important supporting markets to track right now so that one can maneuver any further upside in the markets as well as the coming volatility that may follow.

September 15, 2023
Major Top or One More High

Major Top or One More High

September is widely known to be the worst month for tech as it’s the only month to see negative average returns for the past decade for the Nasdaq 100. Meanwhile, the index is entering September up 42.5% YTD, setting up investors who are sitting on paper gains for potentially a large disappointment. With this many cross currents, there is no shortage of well-supported narratives. For this reason, we believe the best means to navigate the current markets is by focusing on price. If we are going to see a major pullback, this will show up in specific price patterns breaking through critical support. Until then, we believe it wise to not fight the current trend, even with the high probability of a recession manifesting within the next six months.

September 08, 2023
Tesla's Margins: How Low Will They Go?

Tesla’s Margins: How Low Will They Go?

Tesla stock has rallied through most of 2023 during a time when consensus was estimating sales to grow +23% y/y but earnings to decline 15%. The main driver behind the decline in earnings estimates is that Tesla has decided to lower prices to increase volumes at the expense of margins. Starting in Q322 through Q223, operating margins have declined from 17.2% to 9.6%. Initially, Tesla cited making sure certain models qualified for the EV tax credit and later higher interest rates as the primary reasons for lowering prices.

August 31, 2023
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Nvidia Stock: How We Plan To Position For Q2 Earnings

Nvidia guided fiscal Q2 at $11 billion, which is 53% higher than analyst expectations of $7.2 billion. The stock was up 25% after hours, adding $200 billion to its market cap in the matter of a day.

August 29, 2023
Alphabet Stock: Search Giant Is Just Getting Started

Alphabet Stock: Search Giant Is Just Getting Started

Going into this year, we were positioned for bottom-line focused investment themes that we felt would be able to deliver earnings growth due to secular demand for its products, and in some cases, be able to reduce costs to maintain profitability.

August 16, 2023
This Next AI Trend Could be Worth Trillions

This Next AI Trend Could be Worth Trillions

In the clip below, Beth Kindig discusses how AI will drive stock market caps well into the trillions of dollars.

August 04, 2023
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