Blogs -Broad Market Levels: September 15, 2022

Broad Market Levels: September 15, 2022


September 16, 2022

author

Knox Ridley

Portfolio Manager

In this week’s broad market levels update, Knox explores potential bear market scenarios. With the help of basic trend analysis, he hopes viewers will be able to filter their emotions, so they can be on the right side of trend changes. Knox also covers September 16th's quadruple witching event, he details what supporting markets contributed to this bear market and ends the technical analysis by discussing the market impact of a potential recession in 2023.

Broad Market Levels Timestamps:

00:00 - Analyzing the Current Market with Trend Lines

06:49 - Key Levels: 3900 and 4120, and Different Scenarios

12:45 - Quadruple Witching - September 16, 2022

14:05 - Supporting Markets - Interest Rates

18:12 - Supporting Markets - Oil and Energy

19:55 - Recession Analysis


Basic Trend Analysis in Bear Markets

Basic trend analysis can point out high probability moments in each bear market that can signal a major reversal is underway. Emotions tend to be quite negative when this happens, which is why it’s crucial to identify these pivots and have a plan in place. Knox goes over the key pivots that would mark the end of the 2022 bear market.


Key Levels to Pay Attention to in a Bear Market

Despite the market’s uncertainty, Knox puts the market’s major thresholds at 3,900 and 4,120. Should it drop below 3,900, it could find a new low at 3,705 or 3,685. On the other hand, if it breaks through 4,120, it could signal a healthy CPI as well as market pricing in various factors – good and bad.


Quadruple Witching - September 16, 2022 - Large Trading Volume Predicted

Knox believes that this inflection point is right around the corner. Aside from the upcoming Fed meeting, there is also the Quadruple Witching on September 16, which is expected to lead to one of the biggest volumes day since quadruple witching only happens four times a year. This is when stock options and futures as well as stock index options and futures expire on the same day. The last time this event happened was at the June low in 2022.


Supporting Markets: Interest Rates, Oil and Energy

Finally, Knox reviews the various supporting markets: Bonds, Oil, and Energy. He notes that the market is in a strange situation right now in the sense that although the economy is officially in recession. Jobs, industrial production, as well as manufacturing and services, are still expanding, though, at a slower rate.

Knox offers several reasons for this. Low oil prices, for example, is reducing inflation, which in turn is helping equities. Further, he expects that the dollar may be weakening soon (a positive for equities), and there is also the possibility of good news coming from the Fed meeting. Supporting markets aside, though, Knox reminds investors to focus on the 3,900 and 4120 and to wait until the market completes a fifth wave.

To get more free stock analysis on fundamentals and technicals, sign up for I/O Fund's free newsletter with gains of up to 403% - Click here.
Subscribe to Free Newsletter


Catch up on previous Broad Market Levels

Why the Next Two Weeks Could Determine the Rest of 2022

In this week's broad market video update, Knox explains why the next two weeks could determine the rest of 2022. Read his full technical analysis here. Taken from a 1-hour premium webinar, Knox shares his view on where the market may be headed in the coming weeks. While examining the current structure, Knox discusses whether or not the first leg of a larger bear market will last until 2023 or if there's something else going on. The broad market update also includes an overview of three scenarios that will be likely going forward and takes a look at the supporting markets such as crude oil and the U.S. dollar.


About I/O Fund Premium Stock Investing Services

Premium Members currently enjoy all 7 Premium benefits below.

  1. Premium library of institutional-level research and analysis, including fundamental stock analysis and advanced market signals on technicals and macro analysis.
  2. Weekly Webinars on advanced market signals and broad market, plus quarterly portfolio reviews on Long-Term Buy and Hold tech stocks.
  3. Technical Analysis on stocks and Broad Markets with charts on all major US markets, analysis of inflation and growth, as well as 60 global markets to help us focus on risk/reward for entries and position our portfolio based on the macro-environment.
  4. An Active Forum made up of a community of like-minded investors with robust conversations including both fundamental and tech product analysis.
  5. A completely Transparent Portfolio made up of long-term buy and hold positions, crypto, and Long/Short Momentum positions.
  6. Trade Alerts are sent directly to your phone via SMS and email.
  7. NEW! Automated Hedge with advanced signals to help spot approaching risk in the markets, with a 67% win rate going back to 2003 with only 40 signals triggered.

Sign up for Premium

About I/O Fund Portfolio Manager Knox Ridley

Knox Ridley began consulting on portfolios in 2007 and is an experienced growth investor in both bull and bear markets, which is hard to find these days. As the portfolio manager of the I/O Fund, he beat the top-performing funds on Wall Street in both 2020 and in 2021. His real-time trade notifications to premium subscribers have garnered 27 entries with over 100% gains in the last two years. Knox began his career as an ETF wholesaler in 2007 before becoming a portfolio consultant for large RIAs, FAs, and Institutional accounts. He is very keen on macro trends and is trained in Fibonacci Trading, Elliott Wave theory, as well as Gann Cycles. He also uses classical technical analysis to manage risk and identify great risk/reward setups. Knox is known for increasing and decreasing allocations for record-breaking returns.

Gains of up to 2,160% from our Free Newsletter.


Here are sample stock gains from the I/O Fund’s newsletter --- produced weekly and all for free!

2,160% on Nvidia

675% on Bitcoin

*as of Mar 27, 2025

Our newsletter provides an edge in the world’s most valuable industry – technology. Due to the enormous gains from this particular industry, we think it’s essential that every stock investor have a credible source who specializes in tech. Subscribe for Free Weekly Analysis on the Best Tech Stocks.

If you are a more serious investor, we have a premium service that offers lower entries and real-time trade alerts. Sample returns on the premium site include 3,430% on Nvidia, 915% on Chainlink, and 1,020% on Bitcoin. The I/O Fund is audited annually to prove it’s one of the best-performing Funds on the market, with returns that beat Wall Street funds.

beth
head bg

Get a bonus for subscription!

Subscribe to our free weekly stock
analysis and receive the "AI Stock: 5
Things Nobody is Telling you" brochure
for free.

More To Explore

Newsletter

I/O Fund reports a 210% cumulative return, surpassing top tech ETFs and institutional portfolios with a 35% gain in 2024. Source: YCharts and InsiderMonkey.

I/O Fund Reports 210% Cumulative Return -- Ranking Above Wall Street's Best

In 2024, I/O Fund posted a 35% return, significantly outperforming popular tech ETFs, which recorded an 8% return over the same period. On a cumulative basis, the results translate to a remarkable 219

March 31, 2025
Chart showing retail investor losses compared to institutional investors, highlighting market volatility and the impact of high-frequency trading.

The Harsh Truth: Retail Investors Take the Brunt of Market Losses

Retail investors face significant disadvantages in the stock market, often underperforming institutional investors by a wide margin. Studies show that high-frequency trading firms dominate market acti

March 28, 2025
NVIDIA Blackwell Ultra GPU unveiled at GTC 2025, revolutionizing AI and HPC with unprecedented efficiency and power.

NVIDIA Blackwell Ultra Fuels AI & HPC Innovation, Efficiency and Capability  

NVIDIA’s latest Blackwell Ultra GPU, unveiled at NVIDIA GTC 2025, is transforming AI acceleration and high-performance computing (HPC). Designed for the “Age of Reasoning,” these cutting-edge GPUs del

March 21, 2025
Futuristic AI data center featuring NVIDIA’s GB200 Superchip, designed for AI superclusters, high-performance computing, and generative AI training with up to 27 trillion parameters.

NVIDIA’s GB200s for up to 27 Trillion Parameter Models: Scaling Next-Gen AI Superclusters

Supercomputers and advanced AI data centers are driving the AI revolution, enabling breakthroughs in deep learning and large-scale model training. As AI workloads become increasingly complex, next-gen

March 21, 2025
Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang discusses AI market dominance at GTC 2025, addressing demand concerns and future growth projections.

Nvidia CEO Predicts AI Spending Will Increase 300%+ in 3 Years

Nvidia has traversed choppy waters so far in 2025 as concerns have mounted about how the company plans to sustain its historic levels of demand. At GTC, Huang threw cold water on many of the Street’s

March 20, 2025
AI data centers are driving the AI revolution, but their soaring energy demands pose sustainability challenges. With power consumption projected to rise 160% by 2030, data centers are integrating brown, clean, and renewable energy sources. Goldman Sachs predicts 40% of new capacity will come from renewables, but can solar, wind, and nuclear sustain AI’s 24/7 operations? Explore how hyperscalers are evolving their energy strategies to meet growing AI demands.

AI Data Center Power Wars: Brown vs. Clean vs. Renewable Energy Sources

AI data centers are at the heart of the AI revolution, but their massive energy demands raise critical questions. With power consumption expected to grow 160% by 2030, data centers are turning to a mi

March 19, 2025
Natural gas pipelines supporting AI data centers as energy demand surges, with Texas and Louisiana emerging as key hubs for AI infrastructure growth.

Why Gas Pipelines Are the Unsung Heroes of AI Data Center Expansion

Natural gas is emerging as the backbone of AI data center expansion, with demand expected to reach up to 6 billion cubic feet per day by 2030. As AI-driven infrastructure surges, data centers are turn

March 19, 2025
Alibaba’s AI revenue growth accelerates, but remains significantly lower than U.S. tech leaders like Microsoft, highlighting China’s competitive AI landscape.

Alibaba Stock: China Has Low AI Revenue Compared to United States

Alibaba’s AI-driven cloud revenue is surging with six consecutive quarters of triple-digit growth. However, its AI earnings remain a fraction of what U.S. tech giants report, with Microsoft leading at

March 14, 2025
By 2030, AI data centers may consume 9% of U.S. electricity as GPU power usage surges, with Nvidia’s GB200 reaching 2,700W. To ensure sustainability, data centers are adopting long-term PPAs and exploring high-efficiency energy sources like nuclear and SOFCs.

Unlocking the Future of AI Data Centers: Which Fuel Source Reigns Supreme in Efficiency?

AI data centers are projected to consume 9% of U.S. electricity by 2030, driven by soaring GPU power demands, with Nvidia’s GB200 reaching 2,700W—a 300% increase over previous generations. As AI racks

March 13, 2025
Tesla faces declining deliveries in 2024 and mounting challenges in 2025, with sharp sales drops in China and Europe, margin pressures, and shifting growth targets.

Tesla Has a Demand Problem; The Stock is Dropping 

Tesla’s growth faces major hurdles in 2025 after its first annual decline in deliveries. Sales are plunging in key markets like China and Europe, while margins remain under pressure. Optimism around r

March 07, 2025
newsletter

Sign up for Analysis on
the Best Tech Stocks

https://bethtechnology.cdn.prismic.io/bethtechnology/e0a8f1ff-95b9-432c-a819-369b491ce051_Logo_Final_Transparent_IOFUND.svg
The I/O Fund specializes in tech growth stocks and offers in-depth research for Premium Members. Investors get access to a transparent portfolio, a forum, webinars, and real-time trade notifications. Sign up for Premium.

We are on social networks


Copyright © 2010 - 2025