Blogs -Will The Stock Market Bounce Last?

Will The Stock Market Bounce Last?


October 07, 2022

author

Knox Ridley

Portfolio Manager

Last week, we pointed out that the Dollar Index (DXY) is starting to put in another attempt at a top, which would be a major catalyst for equities finding a meaningful low. This, coupled with the stock market hitting the most oversold conditions we’ve seen in 2022, had us expecting a stock market bounce. This week, we’ll analyze the stock market bounce as well as rates and the U.S. Dollar to better determine whether this bounce will be a multi-week rally, or a multi-month one.

In this analysis, we look deeper into the U.S. Dollar and the trouble it is causing around the world. As the U.S. Dollar continues to strengthen it can only do so as other currencies weaken. The weaker a currency gets, the more of that currency we have chasing the same goods. This is the definition of inflation, and also why a strong U.S. Dollar is not good for global stability. As a result, we are now starting to see cracks in the system.

We detail this for you more below and also feel free to check out more weekly webinars on YouTube where we discuss broad market levels.

10/06 Broad Market Levels Timestamps

00:00 - Are We in a Stock Makret Bounce or Should We Prepare for One More Low?

03:23 - The WXYZ Pattern

04:26 - Bottoming Into an Inflection Point

06:02 - Why The Stock Market Has Bottomed

08:10 - The Breakout Move

08:20 - The Alternative Scenario

10:51 - The U.S. Dollar and Why It Eventually Has to Go Down

14:07 - The DXY Dollar Index

15:25 - Get Weekly Stock Market Updates


Get Critical Weekly Stock Market Analysis during Stock Market Crashes

On the I/O Fund premium site, we provide weekly webinars that discuss what the I/O Fund is buying and selling. We also have a proprietary hedging signal that we monitor in real-time. Following the analysis, we provided for free on YouTube last month “This is Still a Warning Sign” and also in this article “Why the Next Two Weeks Could Determine 2022” we hedged going into the CPI number for a nice gain in a tough market and have had a hedge in place most of September

To watch more stock market analysis videos, follow me on YouTube here or sign up for the I/O Fund free newsletter to be notified when I publish the next weekly webinar.


Sign Up for the Next Premium Webinar covering Stock Market Bounces

Learn more about Premium I/O Fund Services.

About I/O Fund Portfolio Manager Knox Ridley

Knox Ridley began consulting on portfolios in 2007 and is an experienced growth investor in both bull and bear markets, which is hard to find these days. As the portfolio manager of the I/O Fund, he beat the top-performing funds on Wall Street in both 2020 and in 2021. His real-time trade notifications to premium subscribers have garnered 27 entries with over 100% gains in the last two years. Knox began his career as an ETF wholesaler in 2007 before becoming a portfolio consultant for large RIAs, FAs, and Institutional accounts. He is very keen on macro trends and is trained in Fibonacci Trading, Elliott Wave theory, as well as Gann Cycles. He also uses classical technical analysis to manage risk and identify great risk/reward setups. Knox is known for increasing and decreasing allocations for record-breaking returns.

To get more free stock analysis on fundamentals and technicals, sign up for I/O Fund's free newsletter with gains of up to 403% - Click here.
Subscribe to Free Newsletter



About I/O Fund Premium Stock Investing Services

Premium Members currently enjoy all 7 Premium benefits below.

  1. Premium library of institutional-level research and analysis, including fundamental stock analysis and advanced market signals on technicals and macro analysis.
  2. Weekly Webinars on advanced market signals and broad market, plus quarterly portfolio reviews on Long-Term Buy and Hold tech stocks.
  3. Technical Analysis on stocks and Broad Markets with charts on all major US markets, analysis of inflation and growth, as well as 60 global markets to help us focus on risk/reward for entries and position our portfolio based on the macro-environment.
  4. An Active Forum made up of a community of like-minded investors with robust conversations including both fundamental and tech product analysis.
  5. A completely Transparent Portfolio made up of long-term buy and hold positions, crypto, and Long/Short Momentum positions.
  6. Trade Alerts are sent directly to your phone via SMS and email.
  7. NEW! Automated Hedge with advanced signals to help spot approaching risk in the markets, with a 67% win rate going back to 2003 with only 40 signals triggered.

Sign up for Premium

Loading...

More To Explore

Newsletter

Microsoft stock up as Azure tops AWS, Google Cloud in Q3 2025

Microsoft Stock Surges After Q3 2025 Earnings: What Separates Azure from AWS, Google Cloud

Microsoft stock jumped after Q3 2025 earnings as Azure emerged as the only major cloud platform to accelerate growth this quarter — a rare feat amid macro pressures. Azure’s 35% constant currency grow

May 16, 2025
Bitcoin price chart signaling potential top despite favorable crypto news

Why Bitcoin’s Bull Run May Be Nearing a Top Despite Pro-Crypto Tailwinds

Since calling the Bitcoin bottom near $16,000 in late 2022, the I/O Fund has maintained a disciplined, contrarian approach — issuing 13 buy alerts before Bitcoin surged above $100,000. Now, signs sugg

May 09, 2025
S&P 500 hits key 2025 target as bond market and consumer trends signal rising volatility and shifting stock-bond correlation.

2025 Market Outlook: Why Stocks and Bonds Are Signaling More Volatility

As the S&P 500 reaches a key bounce target, troubling signs in bonds and consumer behavior suggest this market rally may be on thin ice. I/O Fund’s Knox Ridley explains why volatility may intensify an

May 02, 2025
Illustration of an investor holding an umbrella, shielding from stock market volatility.

The Impact of Tariffs on the Stock Market: Q1 Preview

Rising tariffs are injecting significant uncertainty into the stock market, triggering daily volatility and forcing analysts to revise earnings estimates. Our Q1 preview dives into the potential impac

April 25, 2025
Aerial view of Tesla's new Model Y Juniper parked in lines. Courtesy of Tesla, Inc.

Tesla Stock Faces Recalibration of Growth Expectations

Tesla’s stock is now facing a recalibration of expectations after Q1’s delivery report missed by a wide margin. Q1’s analyst consensus has gone from $25.98B at the start of the year to $23.97B in earl

April 17, 2025
an illustration of a government building, constrained by heavy chains, with a volatile stock chart displayed above.

The Fed Can’t Save This One: Why Bonds May Break the Stock Market in 2025

In early 2025, as markets rallied to new highs, we warned that divergence across key sectors signaled a looming correction. Now, with all major indexes in a technical bear market and bond market dysfu

April 11, 2025
Silhouette illustration of Larry Ellison, Oracle's CTO and executive chairman.

Oracle Stock Outlook: Revenue Could Double by FY2029, yet Targets Seem Lofty

Late in 2024, Oracle outlined an ambitious plan to nearly double its revenue by fiscal 2029, hinging on long-term growth in enterprise AI and cloud spending. Oracle sets itself apart from its hypersca

April 04, 2025
Graphic showing I/O Fund's "210% Cumulative Returns" with financial charts and a world map in the background.

I/O Fund Reports 210% Cumulative Return -- Ranking Above Wall Street's Best

In 2024, I/O Fund posted a 35% return, significantly outperforming popular tech ETFs, which recorded an 8% return over the same period. On a cumulative basis, the results translate to a remarkable 219

March 31, 2025
Illustration of an investor burdened by the weight of market downturn

The Harsh Truth: Retail Investors Take the Brunt of Market Losses

Retail investors face significant disadvantages in the stock market, often underperforming institutional investors by a wide margin. Studies show that high-frequency trading firms dominate market acti

March 28, 2025
Illustration of a futuristic AI data center featuring NVIDIA’s GB200 Superchip

NVIDIA’s GB200s for up to 27 Trillion Parameter Models: Scaling Next-Gen AI Superclusters

Supercomputers and advanced AI data centers are driving the AI revolution, enabling breakthroughs in deep learning and large-scale model training. As AI workloads become increasingly complex, next-gen

March 21, 2025
newsletter

Sign up for Analysis on
the Best Tech Stocks

https://bethtechnology.cdn.prismic.io/bethtechnology/e0a8f1ff-95b9-432c-a819-369b491ce051_Logo_Final_Transparent_IOFUND.svg
The I/O Fund specializes in tech growth stocks and offers in-depth research for Premium Members. Investors get access to a transparent portfolio, a forum, webinars, and real-time trade notifications. Sign up for Premium.

We are on social networks


Copyright © 2010 - 2025