Blogs -Sentiment and Divergences are Pointing Up

Sentiment and Divergences are Pointing Up


October 19, 2022

Knox Ridley

Portfolio Manager

Weekly Stock Market Levels - 10/18/22


Markets do not top together, nor do they bottom together. It’s critical to find the leading markets for clues on what’s about to unfold. We saw this in 2021 with global markets all topping throughout the year. Today, we are seeing them bottom one after the other.

We’re also seeing this pattern with various risk-on markets. Transports, high beta, biotech, and small caps, all made higher lows as the broad market made one more low. These assets tend to lead us down, which we were seeing in 2021, but they also will lead us up, which seems to be playing out now.

This week, we will look at these patterns, as well as define the current price range for the broad market. Divergences can provide an early warning signal, but unless the market breaks out of key resistance levels, we do not have confirmation of the trend change underway. I detail this for you more below and also feel free to check out my weekly webinars on YouTube where I discuss broad market levels.

10/18 Broad Market Levels Timestamps

00:00 - Stock Market Intro: The Gap Up from the August Downtrend

03:20 - The Price Range That Really Matters

06:00 - Divergences in the Dow Jones Transports, High Beta Stocks, and Financials

08:18 - Divergences and International Markets (German, Chinese, and Japanese Markets)

12:03 - Get more technical analysis. Sign Up for Free Stock Analysis

Get Critical Weekly Stock Market Analysis during Stock Market Crashes

On the I/O Fund premium site, we provide weekly webinars that discuss what the I/O Fund is buying and selling. We also have a proprietary hedging signal that we monitor in real-time. Following the analysis, we provided for free on YouTube last month “This is Still a Warning Sign” and also in this article “Why the Next Two Weeks Could Determine 2022” we hedged going into the CPI number for a nice gain in a tough market and have had a hedge in place most of September

To watch more stock market analysis videos, follow me on YouTube here or sign up for the I/O Fund free newsletter to be notified when I publish the next weekly webinar.


Sign Up for the Next Premium Webinar where we continue to discuss Stock Market Bounces

Premium I/O Fund Services.

About I/O Fund Portfolio Manager Knox Ridley

Knox Ridley began consulting on portfolios in 2007 and is an experienced growth investor in both bull and bear markets, which is hard to find these days. As the portfolio manager of the I/O Fund, he beat the top-performing funds on Wall Street in both 2020 and in 2021. His real-time trade notifications to premium subscribers have garnered 27 entries with over 100% gains in the last two years. Knox began his career as an ETF wholesaler in 2007 before becoming a portfolio consultant for large RIAs, FAs, and Institutional accounts. He is very keen on macro trends and is trained in Fibonacci Trading, Elliott Wave theory, as well as Gann Cycles. He also uses classical technical analysis to manage risk and identify great risk/reward setups. Knox is known for increasing and decreasing allocations for record-breaking returns.

To get more free stock analysis on fundamentals and technicals, sign up for I/O Fund's free newsletter with gains of up to 403% - Click here.
Subscribe to Free Newsletter



About I/O Fund Premium Stock Investing Services

Premium Members currently enjoy all 7 Premium benefits below.

  1. Premium library of institutional-level research and analysis, including fundamental stock analysis and advanced market signals on technicals and macro analysis.
  2. Weekly Webinars on advanced market signals and broad market, plus quarterly portfolio reviews on Long-Term Buy and Hold tech stocks.
  3. Technical Analysis on stocks and Broad Markets with charts on all major US markets, analysis of inflation and growth, as well as 60 global markets to help us focus on risk/reward for entries and position our portfolio based on the macro-environment.
  4. An Active Forum made up of a community of like-minded investors with robust conversations including both fundamental and tech product analysis.
  5. A completely Transparent Portfolio made up of long-term buy and hold positions, crypto, and Long/Short Momentum positions.
  6. Trade Alerts are sent directly to your phone via SMS and email.
  7. NEW! Automated Hedge with advanced signals to help spot approaching risk in the markets, with a 67% win rate going back to 2003 with only 40 signals triggered.

Sign up for Premium

Gains of up to 403% from our Free Newsletter.

Here are sample stock gains from the I/O Fund’s newsletter --- produced weekly and all for free!

+344% on Nvidia

+403% on Bitcoin

+218% on Roku

*as of March 15, 2022

Our newsletter provides an edge in the world’s most valuable industry – technology. Due to the enormous gains from this particular industry, we think it’s essential that every stock investor have a credible source who specializes in tech. Subscribe for Free Weekly Analysis on the Best Tech Stocks.

If you are a more serious investor, we have a premium service that offers lower entries and real-time trade alerts. Sample returns on the premium site include 324% on Zoom, 601% on Nvidia, 445% on Bitcoin, and 4-digits on an alt-coin. The I/O Fund is audited annually to prove it’s one of the best performing Funds on the market with returns that beat Wall Street funds. 

More To Explore

Newsletter

Podcast on Cloud Stocks: Consumption Model Vs. Subscription Model

In October, we talked with Jeremy Owens of MarketWatch on a Barron's podcast about the consumption model versus the subscription model. With Snowflake reporting this week, it's a good time to revisit

December 02, 2022

Nvidia Stock: Evidence Gaming Bottomed And Why It’s Important

The new Ada Lovelace architecture uses 76 billion transistors and a 4nm production process. In the keynote, the CEO stated: ‘Nvidia engineers worked closely with TSMC to create the 4N process optimize

November 29, 2022

The Low is in for Bonds, As Well As Most Stocks (For Now)

Last week, the market went through one of the largest intraday swings since the bear market began in 2022. Since then, we have reclaimed that high. The question is: what does this mean for the market

November 11, 2022

We'll know this week if the low is in

Capitulation seems to be taking hold in many tech stocks, specifically in the SaaS/Cloud space. The market has been trained to look to tech, specifically FAANGs, as the sector to lead. However, what i

November 10, 2022

FAANGs are not Leading this Market Lower

Panic selling commenced in the broad market after the FED's recent attempt to stop a rally. Interestingly, the bond market doesn't seem to buy it, nor do many key value stocks in the U.S. The divergen

November 04, 2022

Meta Stock: The rising expenses and Capex are worrying

Meta shares nosedived 25% after the company's recent Q3 results. Meta's expenses are rising and the company is seeing softer revenue growth and softer margins. The slowing advertisement revenue has fo

November 04, 2022

Netflix Stock Will Be A FAANG Again

Netflix lost it’s status as a FAANG when the stock fell from a $300 billion market cap to a $100 billion market cap this year. My firm entered Netflix in August as we fully expect the stock to become

November 01, 2022

This Bear Market Rally has much Further to Go

Markets do not top together, nor do they bottom together. For this reason, identifying the leading markets can help you stay ahead of the trend. We continue to see evidence of these divergences, which

October 28, 2022

Divergences Point Toward Market Moving Higher (Technical Analysis)

Divergences are important to track. There is always a leading market that can provide advanced warning that a top or bottom is ahead. For example, from the COVID low in 2020 through February of 2021,

October 21, 2022

Sentiment and Divergences are Pointing Up

The stock market continues to power higher on the heels of bad news. We are up over 6% since the CPI reading signaled that inflation is stickier than hoped. The last time we saw the broad market ignor

October 19, 2022

Sign up for Analysis on
the Best Tech Stocks

The I/O Fund specializes in tech growth stocks and offers in-depth research for Premium Members. Investors get access to a transparent portfolio of 30 positions, a private forum, webinars, and real-time trade notifications. Sign up for Premium.

We are on social networks


Copyright © 2010 - 2022
Get Free Weekly Analysis on the Best Tech Stocks