Blogs -Bitcoin Bull Market Guide: When to Hold, Trim, or Re-Enter (Webinar) 

Bitcoin Bull Market Guide: When to Hold, Trim, or Re-Enter (Webinar) 


August 28, 2025

author

Knox Ridley

Portfolio Manager

In late 2022, Bitcoin fell into the $16,000 range amid the fallout from the FTX scandal. At the time, credible institutional buy calls were nowhere to be found, as Wall Street largely stayed on the sidelines.

Fast forward to today—Bitcoin now trades more than 600% above its 2022 lows, and a flood of institutional optimism has now entered the news cycle. Analysts and money managers are now calling for another doubling in price before year-end.

Market sentiment has always been a potent force. History shows that the most enthusiastic bullish narratives tend to emerge when prices are stretched, while more cautious takes often surface near market bottoms ,and this cycle is no different.

Throughout Bitcoin’s history, the I/O Fund has continued to distinguish itself with timely, accurate Bitcoin analysis dating back to 2019. While others chased the 2021 frenzy with $200,000 to $500,000 price targets, we remained disciplined—scaling back crypto exposure by half to secure profits. Later, when Bitcoin revisited the $16,000 region, we issued a Strong Buy Alert to our free subscribers, which was subsequently picked up by Tier 1 media.

Our track record is not the product of hype but of a systematic framework—one built on technical analysis, on-chain metrics, and a close watch on global liquidity conditions. Today, this very process is flashing warning signs, which has us, once again, going against the popular narratives, as we have begun the process of taking gains in Bitcoin and reducing risk.

Because of the warnings that our system is picking up on, the I/O Fund partnered with WealthUmbrella to release a free one-hour webinar outlining these risks as well as what we want to see to confirm a potential path higher from here. The presentation details the forces that move Bitcoin, along with the risk management techniques that enabled us to sidestep the 2021 top and re-enter near the 2022 low.  

Below are a few highlights from the presentation:  

In the below clip, Knox Ridley highlights the unique nature of Bitcoin’s price movements and how the I/O Fund manages risk in a market where narrative-based investing does not work. Since Bitcoin lacks traditional fundamentals, we rely on an original process designed specifically for crypto  — one that has allowed us to repeatedly identify both tops and bottoms. 

Though classic fundamental analysis does not apply to Bitcoin, there is a unique set of data points that can be analyzed to help determine the health of Bitcoins’ trend. This type of analysis is called on-chain analysis, which is explained in the below Clip, by Vincent Duchaine of WealthUmbrella.

Sign up below to Access the full video, which will offer: 

  • Interactive charting of Bitcoin. 
  • The price levels that must hold to confirm another leg higher in Bitcoin. 
  • What our game plan is and how far Bitcoin will drop if this level breaks. 
  • What on-chain analysis is telling us about the health of Bitcoin. 
  • The probable price target that WealthUmbrella is projecting before seeing a cyclical top.
gated bg
Sign Up for Free to Read the Full Article
Already a subscriber?Log in here
head bg

More To Explore

Newsletter

AI server rack and processor chip with green and gold vertical light streams in a futuristic data‑center background.

Nvidia Stock to See New Growth Catalyst; 35X Faster AI with Groq 3 LPX

At GTC this week, Jensen Huang stated the revenue opportunity for Nvidia’s artificial intelligence chips may reach at least $1 trillion through 2027, up from a previous target of $500 billion. While t

March 20, 2026
Palantir sign with overlaid stock market chart patterns.

Palantir Stock is Out of Favor, but is the Growth Engine Still Intact?

Palantir stock sold off 38% from November to February and is down about 10% year-to-date. Even so, it has held up better than many software peers given the software sector has taken it on the chin lat

March 13, 2026
Multiple monitors displaying stock market charts with a sharp red downward arrow indicating a market decline, viewed from behind an individual.

“Tech Bubble” Warnings Cost Investors a 550% Nasdaq-100 Run

Investors have been hearing “tech bubble” warnings for more than a decade — but instead of collapsing, the Nasdaq‑100 has gained 550%. If we look back ten years ago to 2015, headlines such as “Sell ev

March 06, 2026
Bloom energy storage units surrounded by circuit‑like lighting, with a modern city skyline in the distance.

My Top 2026 Stock Pick for the AI Boom

The market is fixated on when Big Tech will generate economic value from the $650 billion+ being poured into AI data center expansion annually. The market is missing the point. Monetization has never

February 27, 2026
Graphic displaying I/O Fund's 326% cumulative returns with an upward bar chart.

I/O Fund Jumps to 326% Cumulative Return, Ranking Among Wall Street’s Best

I’m pleased to share the I/O Fund’s audited 2025 return of 37%, bringing cumulative performance since our May 2020 launch to 326%. This represents a 294% lead versus popular tech ETFs and a 152% outpe

February 24, 2026
3D rendering of a glowing gold Bitcoin logo emerging from a grid of raised digital blocks with illuminated edges highlighting the Bitcoin symbol.

Bitcoin After the Cycle Peak: What Comes Next and How We’re Positioning

Bitcoin rarely rewards narrative-based investors for long. Time and again, it has shown a habit of reversing its dominant trend against the prevailing story of the moment. A large portion of the I/O F

February 13, 2026
A glowing gold S&P 500 line chart trending downward, with Magnificent Seven tech icons below.

S&P 500 Outlook 2026: Rising Volatility Risk and Key Support Levels

Since November 2021, when the equal-weight Mag 7 Index does not confirm a new high in the S&P 500, it has been a reliable signal of a weakening market environment. A similar divergence is occurring to

February 05, 2026
TSMC semiconductor manufacturing facility (fab) with the company logo on the building.

The Future of AI Stocks? TSMC Commentary Suggests AI Megatrend

TSMC is one of the least sensational management teams in the AI stocks space, yet management explicitly called AI a multi-year “megatrend” in their most recent earnings call, with demand now being pul

January 29, 2026
2026 Big Tech AI strategy comparison: Apple, Amazon, Google, Meta, and Microsoft transitioning to AI infrastructure monetization.

The $530 Billion AI Question: Which Big Tech Stock is Winning?

Big Tech is expected to invest $530 billion for building AI infrastructure in 2026, while the path to near-term monetization remains a question mark. As investor scrutiny around capital expenditure in

January 22, 2026
A futuristic city designed like a glowing circuit board, with the Palantir logo at the center.

Palantir Stock 2026 Forecast: Is Its High Valuation Sustainable?

Palantir’s stock has defied gravity, delivering steady performance that no other AI software stock has come close to matching (yet). For investors, the Palantir thesis is two-fold: the company must co

January 15, 2026
newsletter

Sign up for Analysis on
the Best Tech Stocks


Copyright © 2010 - 2026