Blogs -Bitcoin Bull Market Guide: When to Hold, Trim, or Re-Enter (Webinar) 

Bitcoin Bull Market Guide: When to Hold, Trim, or Re-Enter (Webinar) 


August 28, 2025

author

Knox Ridley

Portfolio Manager

In late 2022, Bitcoin fell into the $16,000 range amid the fallout from the FTX scandal. At the time, credible institutional buy calls were nowhere to be found, as Wall Street largely stayed on the sidelines.

Fast forward to today—Bitcoin now trades more than 600% above its 2022 lows, and a flood of institutional optimism has now entered the news cycle. Analysts and money managers are now calling for another doubling in price before year-end.

Market sentiment has always been a potent force. History shows that the most enthusiastic bullish narratives tend to emerge when prices are stretched, while more cautious takes often surface near market bottoms ,and this cycle is no different.

Throughout Bitcoin’s history, the I/O Fund has continued to distinguish itself with timely, accurate Bitcoin analysis dating back to 2019. While others chased the 2021 frenzy with $200,000 to $500,000 price targets, we remained disciplined—scaling back crypto exposure by half to secure profits. Later, when Bitcoin revisited the $16,000 region, we issued a Strong Buy Alert to our free subscribers, which was subsequently picked up by Tier 1 media.

Our track record is not the product of hype but of a systematic framework—one built on technical analysis, on-chain metrics, and a close watch on global liquidity conditions. Today, this very process is flashing warning signs, which has us, once again, going against the popular narratives, as we have begun the process of taking gains in Bitcoin and reducing risk.

Because of the warnings that our system is picking up on, the I/O Fund partnered with WealthUmbrella to release a free one-hour webinar outlining these risks as well as what we want to see to confirm a potential path higher from here. The presentation details the forces that move Bitcoin, along with the risk management techniques that enabled us to sidestep the 2021 top and re-enter near the 2022 low.  

Below are a few highlights from the presentation:  

In the below clip, Knox Ridley highlights the unique nature of Bitcoin’s price movements and how the I/O Fund manages risk in a market where narrative-based investing does not work. Since Bitcoin lacks traditional fundamentals, we rely on an original process designed specifically for crypto  — one that has allowed us to repeatedly identify both tops and bottoms. 

Though classic fundamental analysis does not apply to Bitcoin, there is a unique set of data points that can be analyzed to help determine the health of Bitcoins’ trend. This type of analysis is called on-chain analysis, which is explained in the below Clip, by Vincent Duchaine of WealthUmbrella.

Sign up below to Access the full video, which will offer: 

  • Interactive charting of Bitcoin. 
  • The price levels that must hold to confirm another leg higher in Bitcoin. 
  • What our game plan is and how far Bitcoin will drop if this level breaks. 
  • What on-chain analysis is telling us about the health of Bitcoin. 
  • The probable price target that WealthUmbrella is projecting before seeing a cyclical top.
gated bg
Sign Up for Free to Read the Full Article
Already a subscriber?Log in here
head bg

More To Explore

Newsletter

I/O Fund analyst team with a graphic promoting “The Best of I/O Fund’s Free Newsletter in 2025,” showing an upward chart and market-themed background.

Nvidia & Beyond: I/O Fund’s Best Free AI Stock Research in 2025  

We describe our newsletter as “free,” however the resources required to produce the research behind our weekly analysis are substantial. Delivering early, actionable insights consistently—and making t

December 31, 2025
A Fox Business live interview features Beth Kindig, Lead Tech Analyst at I/O Fund, discussing NVIDIA.

AI Stocks & Nvidia: I/O Fund’s 2025 Tech Media Highlights

As we close out a defining year for tech, we’re proud to share a few media moments where our theses met the mainstream. We are grateful that our readers trust us to cut through the noise - and we want

December 23, 2025
Meta logo glowing on a futuristic microchip with neon circuitry and rising stock chart, symbolizing AI growth and monetization.

The AI Revenue Leader Nobody Is Talking About—Second Only to Nvidia Stock

Meta’s stock sits at the center of the AI spending debate, as Big Tech continues to shock markets with outsized AI-driven capital expenditures. What is being overlooked is that Meta’s stock is already

December 18, 2025
Nvidia, Broadcom (AVGO), and AMD AI Accelerator Chips Comparison

Broadcom Stock: The Silent Winner in the AI Monetization Supercycle

The AI accelerator market will inevitably widen beyond Nvidia’s GPUs - the keyword is widen. More players will sell more AI systems as the market expands, and that growth supports both the clear leade

December 11, 2025
A large digital wave with Nvidia’s green accents, made of binary code and GPU textures, rising with an upward market graph.

Nvidia Stock and the AI Monetization Supercycle No One Is Pricing In

Two weeks ago, Nvidia blew the doors off with an earnings report that defies the company’s mega-cap scale. The long-awaited Blackwell and Blackwell Ultra architectures are shipping in volume, leading

December 04, 2025
Digital image of a glowing Bitcoin coin centered over a candlestick chart, representing price volatility and technical analysis in the crypto market.

I/O Fund Called the Bitcoin Selloff: What Liquidity & DXY Data Predict Next

In August, the I/O Fund warned that Bitcoin was entering a high-risk phase as global liquidity stalled, and sentiment patterns flashed caution. Since then, Bitcoin has fallen more than -35%. In this a

November 28, 2025
Illustration of a towering Nvidia GPU dominating over smaller Apple, Microsoft, and Google chip blocks, with stock market charts in the background symbolizing Nvidia’s market cap lead.

Why Nvidia Stock Could Reach a $20 Trillion Market Cap by 2030

The headline that Nvidia could reach a $20 trillion market cap by 2030 will trigger plenty of emotion — it sounds fantastical, full of hype, or like a prediction made far too early in the AI cycle. Ye

November 19, 2025
Visual metaphor of stacks of glowing microchips on a circuit board labeled "$405B Bet," symbolizing Big Tech's massive capital expenditure in AI infrastructure.

Big Tech’s $405B Bet: Why AI Stocks Are Set Up for a Strong 2026 

AI accelerators such as GPUs and custom silicon need no introduction. Compute has led the AI boom; a trend so powerful, it is displacing the FAANGs of the last decade with Nvidia firmly the world’s mo

November 13, 2025
S&P 500 market forecast showing potential strength into December and volatility in early 2026, based on technical analysis and market cycle trends.

Market Cycles, Not Headlines: What History Says About the 2025 Rally and What Comes Next 

Despite how it may seem, modern-day narratives rarely drive market swings. Tariffs, political headlines, niche trends like rare earth materials, or speculation about which company OpenAI partners with

November 06, 2025
AI circuit board glowing over cracked earth, symbolizing technology masking a weak economy.

Decoding the S&P 500: When Human Sentiment Meets Artificial Intelligence

Less than one-fifth of the U.S. economy is expanding, yet this small segment is growing at such a blistering pace—driven by AI-related spending—that it continues to hold up the rest of the economy. We

October 31, 2025
newsletter

Sign up for Analysis on
the Best Tech Stocks


Copyright © 2010 - 2025