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Data Centers in Space: Google Runs AI on 1 kW in Orbit as SpaceX Bets on Orbital Compute

Written by

I/O Fund Editorial Team

Research Team

Published: November 12, 2026

Last Updated: November 12, 2026

Key Points

  • On October 30, 2026, Google said its first Project Suncatcher satellite, built with Planet Labs, ran Gemma 4 on a data-center-class TPU in orbit. The satellite reportedly generates about 1 kW, enough to run one of its four TPUs at a time for roughly 15 to 20 minutes.
  • SpaceX says each planned Starmind satellite will carry more than 250 kW of solar power, and Musk claims orbital compute added each month could pass Earth’s around the end of 2028. A 1 GW AI campus on Earth uses 1,000,000 kW.
  • The GAO says the power, cooling and communications systems large orbital data centers would need remain “unproven at AI-training scale.” Launch costs about $7,000/kg today, and Google’s paper puts a roughly comparable price at about $200/kg by the mid-2030s.
  • To see how the orbital AI data center trend shapes up, keep an eye on Starship Flight 15, targeted for November, Google’s heat and radiation results, and its two linked satellites in 2027.

On October 30, Google revealed that its Gemma 4 AI model ran on a data-center-class TPU aboard its first Project Suncatcher prototype satellite. This satellite reportedly generates only around 1 kW of power, enough to power one of its four TPUs at a time for around 15 to 20 minutes.  

On the same day, Elon Musk shared on X that “terrestrial compute will be peanuts compared to orbital compute, with SpaceX planning an orbital AI infrastructure project, Starmind. Each of the planned Starmind satellites will carry over 250 kW of solar power, with initial deployment expected to start as soon as late 2027.  

As it stands, demand for AI compute continues to grow even as it faces a significant bottleneck in the form of physical power constraints. The International Energy Agency estimates that data center electricity consumption could rise from around 415 TWh in 2024 to around 945 TWh by 2030 in its base case. Both the Project Suncatcher prototype satellite and Musk’s Starmind satellites represent a different avenue to alleviate the power bottleneck by moving AI compute into space. The drawback for now is that both consume a fraction of the power a typical 1 GW terrestrial data center campus on Earth consumes. Against this backdrop, this article examines why companies are looking at AI data centers in space, who is building them, and what stands in the way of orbital AI compute.  

Google’s Project Suncatcher Generates Its First AI Response From Space

Developed in partnership with Planet Labs, Google launched its Project Suncatcher prototype satellite into space on October 1 via SpaceX’s Transporter-18 rideshare mission. After following its commissioning checklist, Google received its first response from the Suncatcher satellite on October 30, generated from a data-center-class TPU in orbit. When passing over a ground station, engineers sent the onboard Gemma 4 AI model a prompt requesting a haiku about being in space. The satellite responded as it flew over Svalbard, Norway, “Blue marble below / Data streams in silent grace / Starlight feeds my core.” 

In addition to the initial response, Google engineers prompted the model for more space-themed limericks and self-diagnostic system queries. This experiment showed that its TPU can run a model in orbit despite limitations of power and heat.  

Google’s research paper lays out a plan for a future design featuring 81-satellite clusters flying within 1 kilometer of each other, located around 650 km above Earth and connected by lasers. After the haiku milestone, Google plans to launch two linked satellites into space in 2027.  

Why Google Is Investing in Space-Based AI Data Centers

Orbital data centers, comprised of a group of satellites carrying AI chips, have gained attention recently as they could be well positioned to bypass growing land, power and permitting constraints. Orbital satellites can link to each other and to the ground, making them capable of working together like server racks in a data center located on Earth. 

Google and SpaceX are turning to orbital AI compute to tackle the power constraint holding back data centers on Earth. Orbital satellites leverage abundant solar power, with cooling handled via radiators. According to the IEA’s estimates, around 20% of planned data center projects could face delays owing to grid connections. In Northern Virginia, for instance, the wait time stretches up to as long as seven years.  

We highlighted the same bottleneck in our analysis about Oracle’s Project Jupiter, where the key challenge for data centers lay in getting access to permissioned megawatts on the ground. Orbital compute is one of the most extreme attempts at getting around the long wait times for accessing permissioned power.  

According to Google’s research, a solar panel operating in a dawn-dusk orbit and staying in sunlight constantly, is capable of collecting up to 8 times more energy per year than one located at mid-latitude on Earth.  

How Much Power Does a Space Data Center Need Compared with One on Earth?

Chart comparing Google Suncatcher, planned orbital satellites, AI racks, and a 1 GW data center campus.
Google’s Project Suncatcher operates on about 1 kW of power, highlighting the vast scale difference between today’s orbital AI systems and terrestrial infrastructure. Based on I/O Fund estimates, matching a 1 GW AI campus would require roughly 1 million Suncatcher-class satellites, 10,000 planned 100 kW Orbital satellites, or 4,000 of SpaceX’s planned 250 kW Starmind satellites.

One challenge for orbital data centers lies within power consumption. Google’s Project Suncatcher prototype runs on around 1 kW, which, for comparison, is barely enough to power one older H100 GPU. Although SpaceX’s Starmind satellites are 250X larger at 250kW, this would not be enough to power two of Nvidia’s GB300 NVL72 racks, consuming 132kW to 140kW each.  

For comparison, there are currently 12 active data centers in the US consuming a minimum of 250MW of power, with one of those above 1GW. By the end of next year, the number of 250MW+ data centers is expected to more than double to 26, with 1GW+ rising to four, per EpochAI.  

According to our rough estimates, matching a 1 GW Earth-based campus would require around 1 million satellites like Google’s prototype. SpaceX lists an average of 175 kW for each Starmind satellite, so it would require around 5,700 or around 4,000 if every satellite ran at its 250 kW peak. Satellites designed by startup Orbital require 100 kW, which works out to around 10,000; although, in September, the company told Payload that it is raising the target to a peak of 250 kW. The satellite figures cover only compute power, while a data center campus on Earth that consumes 1 GW power often includes cooling and other overhead, so these estimates only project an order of magnitude. 

AI’s power requirements are enormous, and identifying the companies positioned to benefit has been a major focus for I/O Fund. Our Bloom Energy position is up nearly 1,200% since our initial entry. 

Find out which AI stocks we’re watching next in our Q4 Top 20 AI Stocks report. Members also get out live portfolio, real-time trade alerts and weekly webinars. 

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Three Key Obstacles Holding Back Data Centers in Space

While Google’s latest milestone demonstrates that it is currently possible to run AI models on an AI chip in orbit, it may take longer to put a full-fledged AI data center in space. In April 2026, the U.S. Government Accountability Office stated that power, heat-rejection and communications systems that large orbital data centers would need remain “unproven at AI-training scale.” Here’s a look at the three key obstacles holding back data centers in space for now: cooling, cost, and radiation and debris in space.  

Obstacle 1: How to Cool a Space-Based Data Center

Unlike on Earth, orbital data centers don’t have access to air that can carry away the heat, and so it has to be radiated from large panels. ABI Research analyst Andrew Cavalier estimates that a 700-watt H100 needs around 1.4 square meters of radiator at 60°C, and a 40 kW rack needs around 80 square meters or roughly the size of a pickleball court. Moreover, radiation and atomic oxygen wear down radiator surfaces, so the area needed grows by as much as 40% over a satellite’s life.  

Google has confirmed that it is testing “a combination of heat pipes and radiators.” As Cavalier forecasts, when it comes to space data centers, “the constraint is never the silicon. It’s the thermodynamics.” 

Obstacle 2: The Cost of Operating Data Centers in Space

Chart comparing orbital launch costs, from Falcon 9 at about $7,000/kg to Google's target of roughly $200/kg.
Launch costs remain one of the biggest barriers to orbital AI data centers. Google estimates costs must fall from roughly $7,000/kg today to around $200/kg before space-based infrastructure becomes economically comparable to terrestrial data center power costs.
Beth Kindig, founder and lead tech analyst of I/O Fund

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Presently, operating a data center in space is far more expensive than running a data center on Earth. A satellite launch alone costs around $7,000 per kilogram on a SpaceX Falcon 9 rideshare. As observed by Euwyn Poon, Orbital’s CEO, in The Register, “the economics of launch don’t quite work yet.” Analyst Andrew Cavalier forecasts that running a GPU in space for a year costs at least 10x more than on Earth, even if SpaceX’s Starship manages to bring down launch costs to $44 per kilogram.  

Google’s research paper estimates that satellite launch costs could come down to around $200 per kilogram by the mid-2030s, which would add $810 to $7,500 per kW a year against the $570 to $3,000 U.S. data centers spend on power. These costs are “roughly comparable” per Google’s estimates but exclude the cost of chips and buildings.  

Obstacle 3: Radiation and Space Debris

Radiation in space can flip bits in AI chip memory. When Google conducted ground tests with a proton beam, the high-bandwidth memory on its Trillium TPUs displayed irregularities at about 2 krad, around 2.7x the dose expected over five years in orbit. These bit flips could cause around one error per 3 million inferences according to Google, but it has stated that its effects on training AI models require more research.  

In addition to radiation, the GAO has highlighted orbital congestion and debris from retired satellites as key concerns that need to be addressed through engineering and policy before scaling orbital data centers. IEEE Spectrum reports that, with over 17,000 satellites in orbit, Starlink makes a collision-avoidance maneuver approximately every two minutes. Even a single low collision in low Earth orbit could result in a chain of further collisions. 

Companies Building Orbital AI Data Centers and Their Expected Launch Timelines

Google’s Project Suncatcher is one of several orbital data centers being planned by several companies. SpaceX, Starcloud and Orbital are planning to launch their own fleets of satellites, featuring Nvidia hardware on board. 

Timeline of key orbital AI data center milestones from 2025 through the mid-2030s for Google, SpaceX, Starcloud, and Orbital.
The roadmap shows how orbital AI infrastructure is progressing from early satellite demonstrations to proposed large-scale deployments. Key milestones include Google’s first AI response from orbit, SpaceX’s planned Starmind rollout, and industry estimates that meaningful orbital AI data center scale may not emerge until the 2030s.

SpaceX requested permission from the FCC in January 2026 to launch up to 1 million orbital data center satellites under its Starmind program. Each of these 250kW satellites is expected to fly in clusters of 10, linked by ~10 terabits of bandwidth. SpaceX expects to start deployments as soon as late 2027 from its factory in Bastrop, Texas. 

In addition to Google and SpaceX, startups like Starcloud and Orbital are among the leading companies building orbital data centers. Starcloud has requested the FCC for permission operate up to 88,000 satellites while Orbital plans 10,000 satellites. Orbital expects its first full-scale satellite to launch around 2030 while GAO and Google research expect larger deployments around mid-2030s.  

How Data Centers in Space Could Impact AI Companies

Four listed companies already have a direct link to orbital data centers. Alphabet runs Project Suncatcher, and Planet Labs has partnered with Google on building its prototype satellite. In addition to launching Google’s Project Suncatcher prototype satellite, SpaceX is planning its own Starmind. Nvidia’s GPUs were launched into space on SpaceX’s Starcloud-1 while its Space-1 Vera Rubin module is expected to fly on Orbital’s test satellite in 2027.  

Despite these four companies’ links to space data centers, most of AI spending is still focused on Earth-based data centers. SpaceX had 1.7 GW of compute by the end of Q3 and aims to touch 2.5 to 3 GW by December, according to Payload reports. On October 26, SpaceX confirmed a binding commitment to enter an approximately $40 billion master finance lease with an entity managed by Apollo Global Management. This managed entity would buy Nvidia Vera Rubin GPUs and related equipment and lease them to SpaceX for its data centers on Earth. The deal is subject to closing conditions, with expectations for a close by the end of 2026. Our analysis on AI debt offers a detailed look at how SpaceX, Oracle and Broadcom are structuring AI debt. 

Dell expects AI data center power to grow by 200 GW through 2030, which we explore in our $1 trillion AI infrastructure analysis. We have also explored hyperscalers’ plans for custom chips, such as Google’s TPU business and Microsoft’s Maia 300 plans.  

Google’s first AI response from Project Suncatcher’s data-center-class TPU shows that it is now possible to run an AI model in space, marking a first step towards putting AI data centers in orbit. However, there is still a wide gap that needs closing until this happens. The present test conditions support a 1 kW operation while most large data center campuses on Earth need at least 1,000,000 kW of power. In addition to power, cooling, high satellite launch costs, space debris and radiation, and even licensing and cybersecurity challenges need addressing.  

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Please note: The I/O Fund conducts research and draws conclusions for the company’s portfolio. We then share that information with our readers and offer real-time trade notifications. This is not a guarantee of a stock’s performance and it is not financial advice. Please consult your personal financial advisor before buying any stock in the companies mentioned in this analysis. 

Aiswarya Gopan, AI and Semiconductor Investment Writer at I/O Fund, contributed to this analysis.

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About the author

I/O Fund Editorial Team

I/O Fund Editorial Team

The I/O Fund Editorial Team writes educational guides that explain investing concepts, market terms, and the technology behind today's markets. All content is researched from trusted sources, fact-checked, and reviewed by an I/O Fund analyst before it is published. This content is for educational purposes only and is not investment advice or a stock recommendation.