The lead we see from Microsoft today on AI revenue streams is critical enough and predictive enough that it points toward Azure surpassing $200 billion by 2028, catalyzed by the OpenAI investment.

Direct liquid cooling doesn’t lie as it’s intricately linked to the Blackwell launch, implying that Blackwell would indeed ship by Q4 – and Nvidia just confirmed that (multiple times) in Q2’s release.

Bulletproof Nvidia showed an unusual bout of weakness this past month following a report from The Information that Nvidia’s new AI chips are delayed. The report asserts that Nvidia’s upcoming artificial intelligence chips will be “delayed by three months or more due to design flaws,” resulting in a final flush of selling where the stock was down (-15%) in 7 days.

Arm Holdings is the third-best performer of 2024 in AI-related semiconductor stocks with a 56% YTD return, behind only Nvidia and Taiwan Semiconductor.

The major theme over the past month in Big Tech and AI semiconductors has been the durability of demand: essentially, what is Big Tech’s return on more than $150 billion in capex over the last twelve months (primarily for AI infrastructure), and if the companies can generate a substantial enough return from AI products to continue catalyzing GPU demand and revenue for Nvidia.

Bitcoin is the best performing asset in market history. There is no stock or asset that has come close to delivering the returns of this digital currency --- it has greatly outperformed all FAANGs, and all outliers in the history of the markets. Yet, Bitcoin is also unusual in that its volatility is equally as historic, capable of regular +70% drawdowns that inevitably push to new highs within an average of 2.5 years.

Optimism around the Fed could spark a continuation of the relief rally in the Russell 2000 and further rotation out of the Mag 7. Below, we look at the pros and cons of a Mag 7 rotation and how we plan to personally handle this shifting landscape.

Heading into 2024, Palantir was exhibiting “multiple signs of acceleration” stemming from strong growth in its US commercial segment, driven by AIP, Palantir’s Artificial Intelligence Platform that lets customers lever Palantir’s AI and ML tools and harness the power of the latest large language models (LLMs) within Foundry and Gotham.